Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 6/14/24
Both the Tigers and Astros are sending a rookie to the mound on Friday, as Tarik Skubal is starting for the Tigers, and Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros. The money line odds have the Tigers at -108 compared to the Astros at -110, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 8:10 PM ET, and the Tigers are 4th in the AL Central with a record of 33-35. The Astros are 3rd in the AL West at 31-38.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -110
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, June 14th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a 7-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -155. It was a big 3rd inning for the Tigers, as they scored five runs in the inning. The Nationals could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.
Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Detroit’s offense was carried by Justyn-Henry Malloy, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Detroit is 33-35 overall and trails the Guardians by 11 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 10-9 against other teams in their division. Today, they are on the road to face the Astros, and they are 9-9-4 in series this year and have dropped two straight series.
At home, the Tigers are 16-19 this year and have gone 17-16 on the road. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, going 5-2 this year. As for their overall record, the Tigers are 17-15 as the favorite and 16-20 as the underdog.
The Tigers have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 30-38 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 18-15. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 22-14 on the run line.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Houston Astros, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Tigers games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 39-27. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-8. Overall, 58.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Tarik Skubal will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Brewers, he picked up the win. Skubal has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last three outings. The left-hander has a record of 8-1 this season and an ERA of 1.92. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .89, and opponents are batting .192 vs. Skubal this year. Out of his 13 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Skubal’s ERA at home is 2.0, compared to 1.95 on the road.
Over the Tigers’ last seven games, Gio Urshela has gone 8/24, and Riley Greene and Justyn-Henry Malloy each have two homers in this stretch. However, Greene is batting just .219 in this stretch and is also hitting just .245 for the season. Greene does lead the team with 30 RBIs and is tied for the team lead with 12 homers. Matt Vierling and Kerry Carpenter are also tied for 2nd on the team with eight homers.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also just 18th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .231. Detroit comes into the game with a team OPS of just .673, which is 22nd in the league.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston closed out their series vs. the Giants with a 5-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at +100 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Giants scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Framber Valdez had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Astros also wasted a big game from Yordan Alvarez, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
Houston is 31-38 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West, eight games behind the Mariners for the division lead. In the AL West, they are 8.0 games behind the Mariners and have gone 15-12 against other teams in the division.
At home, the Astros are 17-18 this year compared to 14-20 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 24-30. As the underdog, they are 7-8 this year, including 1-3 at home. The team’s overall series record is 10-11-1 this year.
When the Astros win, they win by an average of 4.1 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 29-40, and they have been a better bet on the run line at home (15-20) than on the road (14-20). As the favorite, they are 21-33 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 8-7.
The Houston Astros are playing at home against the Detroit Tigers today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 25-41. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and they have played 57 games with lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 82.6% of their games. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-7, and they have had just one game with a lower line than that this season.
Hunter Brown is coming off a strong outing vs. the Angels, as he went six innings, got the win, and didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he only gave up two hits and issued four walks. Looking back at his last three outings, Brown has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off Brown this year. The right-hander has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 9.83 strikeouts per nine innings.
At 4.4 runs per game, the Astros have the 12th best scoring offense in the league this season. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the 2nd best team batting average in the MLB. Houston has also done a great job of putting the ball in play this season, as they lead the league in fewest strikeouts.
Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez have been swinging the bat well of late, with Altuve going 9/23 in his last five games and Alvarez hitting .350 with two homers in this stretch. Kyle Tucker has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 19 homers are the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the league.