Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 6/8/24
Minnesota comes into Saturday’s interleague matchup vs. the Pirates looking to snap a four-game losing streak. They are currently 3rd in the AL Central with an overall record of 33-30. Pittsburgh is 5th in the NL Central and has a record of 30-33.
The money line odds have the Twins at -119 compared to the Pirates at -101, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 4:05 PM ET, and BSN is carrying the game on TV. Simeon Woods Richardson is starting for the Twins, while Carmen Mlodzinski goes for the Pirates.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -101
This game will be played at PNC Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, June 8th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 3-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had just two more hits than the Twins and struck out nine times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were at +107 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Mitch Keller for the Pirates and Joe Ryan for the Twins. Keller only went six innings but didn’t give up a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Ryan gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work.
Minnesota wasted a good outing from Carlos Correa, who went 2/3 with a home run. Correa’s homer was the only run the Twins scored in the game. Trevor Larnach and Byron Buxton each had two hits for Minnesota.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 33-30 overall and is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Pirates. The Twins lost the first game of this series, and they are 7.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in the division.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 25-14 this year and 8-16 as the underdog. On the road, they are an even 17-17. One area of concern for the Twins on the road is that they have dropped four straight games. Their overall series record is 11-7-2, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Minnesota has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 28-35 against the run line. They have been slightly better on the road, going 17-17 against the run line, but they have failed to cover in their last four road games. The Twins have been a favorite in 39 games this season, going 17-22 against the run line in those contests.
Minnesota has played to the over in 27 of their 61 games this season, but their games have averaged just 8.7 runs per game. The Twins have played to the over in all four games when the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, and that line has been set at 9 runs in just 3.2% of their games this season.
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 2-0 with a 3.04 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .226 off Woods Richardson this season. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Woods Richardson has made two quality starts this year.
For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, the Twins are batting just .229, and their team on-base percentage is only .301 (17th). However, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best isolated power figure.
Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 12 homers are the best mark on the team and 9th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .234 and is coming off a stretch in which he has gone just 3/29. Carlos Santana has also struggled with a batting average of .217, but he has gone 9/29 over his last nine games. Jose Miranda is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .286 over his last 10 games.
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates are 30-33 overall and trail the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. Currently, they are 5th in the division and have gone 7-7 in divisional matchups this year. Pittsburgh is at home today, where they are 15-16 compared to 15-17 on the road.
So far, the Pirates have been the underdog in most of their games, and they have gone 9-6 as the home underdog. As for their overall record in games where they are favored, the Pirates are 9-14. They are also 7-9-4 in series this year and have an overall series lead of 1-0 over the Twins heading into today’s game.
When betting the run line, Pittsburgh has been a better play on the road, going 20-12 compared to 16-15 at home. The Pirates have been an underdog in 40 games, and they have covered the run line in 28 of them. In their 36 wins, they have won by an average of 3.0 runs, while in their 27 losses, they have lost by an average of 3.4 runs.
Despite the fact that the Pirates have played in 62 games this season, none of them have had an over/under line set at 9 runs. In fact, their average over/under line is just 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the Pirates have gone over the total in 33 of their 62 games, and their over/under record is 33-29.
Right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski is getting the start for the Pirates today and has made eight appearances this season. He has yet to pick up a win, going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA. Mlodzinski most recently pitched on June 6th out of the bullpen, where he went one inning and didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he gave up one hit and didn’t issue a walk. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. Mlodzinski’s ERA at home is 8.1 compared to 3.6 on the road.
Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been providing most of the Pirates’ power this season, with Cruz leading the team with nine homers and Reynolds right behind him with eight. Reynolds also leads the team with 34 RBIs and is batting .259 for the season. Cruz comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last five games. Andrew McCutchen is also near the top of the Pirates’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .228 for the season.
Overall, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road (4.2 RPG) compared to at home (4.0 RPG). Pittsburgh’s team batting average is just .230, and they are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.