Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 6/5/24

Carlos Rodon and the Yankees will look to extend their six-game winning streak on Wednesday vs. the Twins. Minnesota will be starting Chris Paddack and is 33-27 overall, which is 3rd in the AL Central. The game will get started at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -191. The Twins are at +161, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

BSN is carrying Wednesday’s TV coverage for this AL matchup.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Wednesday, June 5th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 5-1 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring two of their five runs and picking up three of their six hits. As for the Twins, they scored their only run in the 7th and finished the game with just two hits.

Luis Gil started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Bailey Ober got the start for the Twins and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.

Giancarlo Stanton and Gleyber Torres each homered for the Yankees, while Aaron Judge scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Royce Lewis hit the game’s only other home run for the Twins.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 33-27 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in their division. The Twins are on the road today, and they are 17-14 on the road compared to 16-13 at home.

As the favorite, the Twins have gone 25-13 this year and 8-14 as the underdog. They have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 11-6-2.

Minnesota has been a solid bet against the run line on the road, going 17-14. The Twins have an even run differential on the road this season, but they have been outscored by 0.2 runs per game at home. They have a run line record of 11-18 at home.

The Twins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 25-33, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-11. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in just 10% of their games this season.

Right-hander Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.57. Paddack’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.38. The last time he took the mound, Paddack finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Paddack has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.97 strikeouts per nine innings.

For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .229, which is 17th in the MLB. However, the Twins are 9th in home runs and have the 4th best isolated power mark in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been a solid power threat for the Twins this season, as his 12 homers are 8th in the league. He is also 13th in the league with 36 RBIs. However, Jeffers is hitting just .246 for the season and has gone 3/13 in his last four games. Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .257 and has gone deep four times this season.

Yankees Records & Stats

With a record of 43-19, the Yankees lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles and have won six straight games. The Yankees have taken the first game of their series vs. the Twins, and their overall series record is an impressive 15-2-2. This includes having won three straight series and five straight series on the road.

At home, the Yankees are 19-8 this year and have been really good on the road at 24-11. So far, they have been good in day games, going 17-7 this year. As the favorite, the Yankees are 32-15 and 11-4 as the underdog. Currently, they have a three-game home winning streak going.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 36 of 62 games overall, and they are 22-13 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in their last three games at home and in four straight games overall. They are 24-23 on the run line as the favorite and 12-3 as the underdog.

When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 27-33, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 14-11. In 17.7% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, while in 41.9% of their games, the line has been set below 8.5 runs.

Carlos Rodón has been pitching well for the Yankees, as he comes into the game with a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.09. So far, he has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .215 off the left-hander this season. Rodón has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work, coming out with the win. Before that, he had back-to-back outings without giving up an earned run. Rodón has won each of his last three starts.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top OPS in the league and are 1st in on-base percentage. As a team, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. The Yankees have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Both Juan Soto and Aaron Judge are among the league leaders in home runs, with Judge leading the MLB with 21 homers. Soto is batting .319 for the season and has gone deep 17 times. Judge is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 13/33 in his last nine games, with five homers and 12 RBIs.