Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 6/5/24
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Pittsburgh on Wednesday, where the forecasted temperature is 75 degrees. This NL matchup has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA. SNLA will be televising this Dodgers game, and they are the slight money line favorite (-102). The Pirates are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 28-32, while the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West at 38-24.
James Paxton is slated to start for the Dodgers, while the Pirates are going with Paul Skene. Los Angeles is hoping to get the win on the road and extend their lead in the NL West, while the Pirates are looking to move above .500 for the season. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -117
This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, June 5th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 1-0 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense only mustered four hits but got to Tyler Glasnow for one run in six innings of work. As for the Dodgers, they had just five hits and wasted a good outing from Glasnow, who gave up just one run in six innings of work.
Jared Jones started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Dodgers, they got a good outing from Glasnow, who gave up just one run in six innings of work and finished with nine strikeouts.
The only run of the game came in the 3rd inning when Jack Suwinski homered for the Pirates. Bryan Reynolds also had a two-hit game for Pittsburgh.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Los Angeles is currently 1st in the NL West, leading the Padres by seven games. Overall, the Dodgers are 38-24 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Pirates. Their record in the division is 13-10 this season.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 21-12 this season, and they are 17-12 on the road. This year, Los Angeles has been the favorite in 59 games, and they are 37-22 in those matchups. As for their record as the road favorite, they are 17-10 this year.
Despite a winning run line record overall, the Dodgers have been a better bet on the road than at home this season. They have covered the run line in 16 of 29 road games, compared to just 16 of 33 at home. The Dodgers’ average run differential is +1.4 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 32-30 overall.
The Dodgers are on the road against the Pirates today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 8.2 runs, and their over/under record is 30-32. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-6. Overall, 69.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 4 games.
Left-hander James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 3.29. Paxton’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and he has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Paxton finished with a no-decision after going three innings and not giving up a run to the Mets. He only allowed two hits in that outing. Paxton has not given up a home run in his last three outings.
Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts have been a dynamic 1-2 punch for the Dodgers this season, as Ohtani is batting a team-high .321 with 14 homers, while Betts is hitting .314 and has gone deep nine times. Ohtani’s 38 RBIs are 11th in the league and are also the top mark on the team. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 12 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 8th in the MLB.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the 4th best home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in team batting average. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. Over his last five games, Will Smith is batting .368 with three homers, and Andy Pages is 9/18 in his last six games.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 28-32 overall and trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they are 7-7 against other NL Central teams. The Pirates took the first game of their series vs. the Dodgers and have an overall series record of 6-9-4 this year.
At home, the Pirates are 13-15 compared to 15-17 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh has gone 20-18 this year, but they are just 8-14 when favored. Over the last 10 games, the Pirates are 5-5.
When it comes to the run line, the Pirates have been a solid bet this season, going 34-26 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 20-12 against the run line. As an underdog, they have been even better, going 27-11 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.0, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.3.
When the Pittsburgh Pirates play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.4 runs per game. Overall, the Pirates have gone over the total in 31 of their 59 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Pirates have gone over the total in 9 of those 17 games.
Paul Skenes will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Pirates, and he has been solid in his first two outings. Skenes picked up a win in his last start, going 6 innings and giving up 2 earned runs on 3 hits. In his first start, he struck out 11 batters in 6 innings vs. the Cubs.
Andrew McCutchen and Bryan Reynolds are tied for the Pirates team lead with eight home runs apiece. Reynolds is batting .257 for the season, while McCutchen is hitting just .234. Reynolds has also driven in a team-high 32 runs. McCutchen is hitting just .241 over his last seven games, while Reynolds is at .214 over that stretch.
As a team, the Pirates are batting just .228, which is 18th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, slugging percentage, and OPS. Overall, they are averaging just 4 runs per game, and that number drops to 3.7 at home.