Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 6/5/24
The Marlins will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak when they host the Rays at loanDepot Park in Miami. However, they come into the interleague matchup as the slight underdog on the money line (+108). On the other side, the Rays have won two straight and are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 30-31.
Wednesday’s forecast in Miami calls for scattered thunderstorms, with the first pitch being set for 6:40 PM ET. Zach Eflin is slated to start for the Rays, while the Marlins are starting Braxton Garrett. Eflin and the Rays are -127 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline -127
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, June 5th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS MARLINS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay cruised to a 9-5 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. On the other side, the Marlins scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -131.
Ryan Pepiot got the win for the Rays, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Marlins, Jesús Luzardo had a rough outing, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up nine runs.
Brandon Lowe and Amed Rosario each had three hits and two RBIs for the Rays’ offense. Yandy Díaz also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Miami’s top hitter was Bryan De La Cruz, who went 1/5 with a home run.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 30-31 overall and trail the Yankees by 12.5 games in the AL East. The Rays are also 12.5 games behind the Orioles for the second spot in the AL East. The Rays have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10.
At home, the Rays are 17-18 this year, and they are an even 13-13 on the road. As the road favorite, the Rays have gone 6-6 this year, and they are 19-19 when favored overall. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the road favorite and three straight as the favorite overall.
The Rays are 25-36 against the run line this season, including a 14-12 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 13-10 against the run line as the underdog.
The Rays are on the road today against the Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Tampa Bay has played in 44 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 31-29, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-5. The average over/under line for their games this season is set at 8 runs.
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Rays today as he faces off against the Marlins on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.12. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Eflin has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 6.71 strikeouts per nine innings.
Isaac Paredes has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays lineup this season, as he comes into the game batting .294 with a team-leading 10 home runs and 34 RBIs. Paredes is also on a six-game hitting streak. On the other hand, Randy Arozarena is batting just .166 for the season and is also near the top of the league in strikeouts.
Overall, the Rays offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .236. However, they do have a few hitters coming into the game on good streaks, including Amed Rosario, who is 9/18 in his last five games.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 21-40, which puts them 21.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 4-12 this year. The Marlins have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak comes after going 4-3 in the previous seven games.
At home, the Marlins are just 11-22 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 10-18. As the underdog, Miami is 18-28 this year compared to 3-12 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 5-13-1 and have lost two straight series.
When betting the run line on the Marlins, it’s best to do so when they are the underdog. Miami is 24-22 against the run line as the underdog this season. The Marlins are 10-23 against the run line at home, and their average run margin is -1.8 runs per game at home. Miami is 15-13 against the run line on the road, where its average run margin is -0.9 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are at home today against the Tampa Bay Rays with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Marlins have an over/under record of 33-28 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-3. Overall, 72.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Braxton Garrett is making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and it will be his first home start of the year. He’s coming off a win in his last outing, where he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 run on 6 hits. Garrett has been pretty solid to start the year, as he went 9 innings in his first start and gave up just 4 hits.
Josh Bell and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are tied for the team lead in home runs, with each having gone deep eight times this season. Bell is batting just .247, but he has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/22 in his last five games. Chisholm Jr. also has a strong recent stretch, going 7/17 with two homers in his last five games. Both players are also at the top of the Marlins’ RBI leaderboard, with 29 RBIs apiece.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .237 and are near the bottom of the league in both runs per game and on-base percentage. However, they are 12th in the league in team batting average and have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league. Miami’s offense could use a boost, as they are averaging just 3.7 runs per game.