St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 6/3/24
At 8:10 PM ET, the Cardinals and Astros will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line at -176. The Cardinals are +148 to win, and their money line odds have not moved.
Monday’s pitching matchup features Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals and Justin Verlander for the Astros. The Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central, while the Astros are 3rd in the AL West. BSMW will be televising Monday’s game.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -176
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Monday, June 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5.1 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10.1 runs and like the over
Cardinals Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Phillies, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 5-4 win. St. Louis was the +118 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was a big 1st inning for the Cardinals, as they scored two runs right off the bat. The Phillies could only score two runs in the 2nd inning and another two in the 5th.
Lance Lynn put together a good start for the Cardinals, going four innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out four Phillies batters. However, the Cardinals had to use five relievers to close things out, and St. Louis’s bullpen allowed the Phillies to tie things up in the 8th. Ryan Helsley got the save for the Cardinals, and Nolan Gorman’s homer in the 10th was the game-winner.
St. Louis is 28-29 overall this season, and they are seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone just 5-7 in divisional games. The Cardinals will be on the road today, facing the Astros, and they are 10-13 as road underdogs this year.
The Cardinals have been playing well recently, going 7-3 across their last 10 games. At home, the Cardinals are 13-12 this year and 15-17 on the road. They also have an even 14-13 record as the favorite and 14-16 mark as the underdog.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.5 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. This has led to a run line record of 28-29 on the season, including a 15-17 mark on the road and a 10-17 mark as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the St. Louis Cardinals’ game against the Houston Astros is right in line with their season average, as their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. The Cardinals have gone over the total in 24 of their 54 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Cardinals have gone over the total in 3 of 10 games.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with a 3.60 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .228 off Gibson this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.22. In his 11 starts, Gibson has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gibson picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on two hits. He has allowed a total of eight home runs this season.
So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 13th in the league, and their team OPS of .675 is also near the bottom of the league rankings. One issue for the Cardinals has been their home run production, as they are just 18th in the league in homers.
Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 11 home runs is 9th in the league. He also comes into the game on a strong stretch, going 9/30 in his last eight games with three homers. Paul Goldschmidt has also homered three times in his last eight games and is batting .281 in that stretch. For the season, Goldschmidt is hitting just .221.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston closed out their series vs. the Twins with a 4-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -150. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Twins scored in the top of the 2nd.
Hunter Brown put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven Twins batters. However, the Astros couldn’t close things out, and Ryan Pressly took the loss out of the bullpen. The Astros also wasted a big game from Alex Bregman, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
Houston is 26-34 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West, 7.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Astros head into today’s game at home vs. the Cardinals having lost two of their last three games. Overall, they are 4-6 across their last 10.
So far, the Astros have gone 13-11 in divisional games. At home, they are just below .500 at 15-17 this year compared to an 11-17 mark on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 20-27 and 6-7 as the underdog. The Astros’ overall series record is 8-10-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Overall, they have a negative run differential on the season (-0.1 runs per game), and their run line record is 24-36. They are 13-19 against the run line at home and 11-17 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 17-30 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 7-6.
When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is usually set high, with 73.3% of their games having lines set over 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their O/U record is 21-36. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cardinals is set at 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 1-3-1. The under has hit in their last nine games.
Right-hander Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Cardinals at home. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.25. Verlander’s WHIP for the season is 1.13. Looking back at his last outing, Verlander finished with a no-decision after going seven innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He did give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .215 off Verlander this season.
So far this season, the Astros offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th best in the league. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and have the league’s best team batting average at .258. Houston also does a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Over the past six games, Alex Bregman has been on fire for the Astros, going 10/24 with four home runs and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .290. Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have also been swinging the bat well, as Alvarez has 11 homers and Tucker is 8th in the league with 40 RBIs.