Oakland Athletics vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 6/2/24
There appears to be a chance of light rain in Atlanta on Sunday, where the forecasted temperature is 75 degrees. The Athletics and Braves are set to face off at 1:35 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line (-249).
Atlanta comes into the game with a record of 32-24, while the Athletics are 4th in the AL West with a record of 24-36. Oakland is starting Luis Medina, while the Braves are going with Charlie Morton.
OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 9 Runs
This game will be played at Truist Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, June 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE ATHLETICS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
It was all Oakland in the last game of this series, as the A’s took down the Braves by a score of 11-9. The A’s offense only had two more hits than the Braves and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +260 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Aaron Brooks for the A’s and Chris Sale for the Braves. Brooks only went 4 1/3 innings and gave up seven hits and seven earned runs but didn’t factor in the decision. Michael Kelly got the win out of the bullpen for the A’s, and Dany Jiménez got the save.
Oakland’s two homers came from Miguel Andujar and Brent Rooker. Andujar, Max Schuemann, and Daz Cameron each had three RBIs for the A’s offense.
Athletics Records & Stats
The Athletics are 24-36 overall and trail the Mariners by nine games in the AL West. So far, they have really struggled against other AL West teams, going 5-12 this year. Oakland is currently in 4th place in the division and are nine games behind the Mariners for the division lead.
At home, the Athletics are 13-16 and just 11-20 on the road. As the underdog, the Athletics are 18-34 this year and 6-2 when favored. Oakland’s overall series record is 7-10-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the A’s win, they win by an average of 3.1 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Their run line record is 29-31, and they are 16-15 against the run line on the road. They are 2-6 against the run line as the favorite and 27-25 against the run line as the underdog.
The Oakland Athletics are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Athletics games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 28-30. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-1-1. Only 3.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with the majority of their games having lower lines.
Luis Medina is coming off a season in which he made 17 starts and 23 appearances for the Athletics. His record last year was 3-10, and his ERA was 5.42. Medina’s WHIP for the season was 1.51, and he finished the year with three quality starts. His strikeout rate per nine innings was 8.7, while his walks per nine innings came in at 4.68. Medina’s home run total for the season was 14, and his walks per game average was 2.5.
For the season, the Athletics are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .225, but are 4th in the league in home runs. Oakland’s team on-base percentage of .296 is also among the worst in the league.
Brent Rooker has been the Athletics’ top power threat this season, as his 12 homers is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. He also comes into the game with a 4 game hitting streak. Rooker’s 39 RBIs is also the best mark on the team and 10th best in the MLB. JJ Bleday has also been a good power threat for the team, as his 8 homers is 2nd on the team and 13th best in the league. He has gone 9/36 in his last nine games.
Braves Records & Stats
With a record of 32-24, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 11-8 in divisional matchups. The Braves will be at home today, hosting the Athletics, and they are 18-12 at home this season.
Atlanta has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 11-6-1. As the favorite, the Braves are 31-21 this season, and they are just 1-3 as the underdog. Looking at their recent performance, the Braves are just 4-6 over their last ten games.
When the Braves are the favorite, they are 25-27 against the run line, which is a 48% win rate. Their average run differential in those games is +0.7 runs per game. When they are the underdog, they are 3-1 against the run line, with an average run differential of +0.4 runs per game.
When the Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-34. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 5-8-1. So far this season, 19.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 55.4% have had lower lines.
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals. In that May 27th start, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs. Morton was tagged for two homers in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Morton has allowed a total of six homers. For the season, he has given up six homers at home and six on the road. Morton’s ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a record of 3-2. Opponents are batting .240 vs. Morton this season.
Marcell Ozuna has been red hot for the Braves of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with a batting average of .312 and 53 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Ozuna is also 4th in the MLB with 17 homers. Matt Olson has also been a solid run producer for the Braves, as he has gone deep nine times and has 32 RBIs.
As a team, the Braves are 8th in the league in batting average at .250 and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 7th best OPS in the league.