San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 5/25/24

From Citi Field in New York, we have the Giants and Mets facing off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:40 PM ET. NBCS will be televising this game, and the Mets are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -125.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for Saturday’s game in New York calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the high 70s. Jordan Hicks is starting for the Giants, and they are 26-26, while the Mets will have Luis Severino on the mound. Severino and the Mets are looking to extend a four-game winning streak and move above .500.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +106
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Saturday, May 25th.
HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS METS:
- We have the Giants winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
San Francisco rallied for five runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this series. The Giants scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 8th, picking up an 8-7 win over the Mets. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +123 on the money line.
Kyle Harrison started for the Giants, going just five innings while giving up four runs and striking out six. He did not factor in the decision. Nick Avila got the win out of the bullpen, and Camilo Doval got the save. Reed Garrett took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.
Pete Alonso hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Alonso’s homer in the 8th inning gave the Mets a 7-3 lead heading into the Giants’ half of the 8th. Mark Vientos also had a two-hit game for New York.
Giants Records & Stats
San Francisco is currently 2nd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games. The Giants head into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets with an overall record of 26-26. They have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10.
As the road team, the Giants are 11-16 this season compared to 15-10 at home. San Francisco has been good in this series, as they have an overall series record of 8-6-2 and have won two straight series. The Giants have also won three straight series on the road.
San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 26-26 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 15-12. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and are 15-9 as the underdog on the run line this season.
The Giants are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. San Francisco’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-23. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-8. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 53.8% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. They have gone over the total in their last four games.
Jordan Hicks is getting the start for the Giants today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-1. Hicks’ ERA for the season is 2.38, along with a WHIP of 1.11. In his 53 innings of work, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 6.79 strikeouts per nine innings. Hicks most recently pitched on May 19th, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Over the past nine games, Matt Chapman has been on fire for the Giants, going 14/33 (.424) with three home runs. Chapman’s eight RBIs in this stretch has him at 27 for the season, which is 2nd on the team. Thairo Estrada and Chapman are tied for the team lead in homers, with eight apiece. Estrada has also driven in 30 runs so far this season, which is 15th in the league.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting .250, which is 7th in the MLB. Their team on-base percentage of .318 is also 7th in the league. San Francisco’s offense is also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, and they are 21-29 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. New York trails the Phillies by 15 games in the division and are 5-8 in the division. The Mets dropped the final game of their series vs. the Rockies and have lost two straight series.
At home, the Mets are 10-15 this year compared to 11-14 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the underdog, going 9-15, and they are 12-14 as the favorite. New York’s overall series record is 6-9-2, and they have lost two straight series at home.
Despite having an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game, the Mets have a run line record of 22-28, including 14-11 on the road. They are 8-17 against the run line at home and have failed to cover the run line in their last seven home games. As the underdog, they are 13-11 against the run line, compared to 9-17 as the favorite.
The Mets are at home today against the Giants, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-23. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 8-7. So far this season, 54.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and is facing the Giants at home. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.48. Opponents have a batting average of .203 off Severino this year. The right-hander has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Severino has not taken the loss in any of his last four outings, finishing with a no-decision in each.
For the season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 12th in the league, and have the 11th most home runs in the MLB. So far, their team OPS of .689 is 17th in the league.
Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 12 homers and Nimmo right behind him at 7. Nimmo’s 29 RBIs are the most on the team, but he is batting just .216. Alonso comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak and has gone 9/28 in his last six games.