Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/14/24
The forecast from Detroit on Tuesday calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid 60s. The Tigers are the heavy favorites on the money line, as their odds are sitting at -185 compared to the Marlins at +155. This interleague matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit, and Miami is 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 11-32, while the Tigers are 4th in the AL Central.
BSFL will be televising Tuesday’s Marlins vs. Tigers matchup, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. On the mound, Ryan Weathers is starting for the Marlins, while the Tigers are going with Reese Olson.
MIAMI MARLINS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Detroit rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Marlins series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -172 on the money line.
Miami wasted a good outing from Sixto Sanchez, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Marlins. Anthony Maldonado took the loss. Alex Faedo got the win out of the bullpen for the Tigers as Matt Manning went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs.
Offensively, the Tigers were led by Spencer Torkelson, Wenceel Perez, and Nick Gordon, as they were the only three Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Torkelson and Otto Lopez each homered for Detroit.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is just 11-32 overall this season, and they are 18.5 games behind in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 2-11. The Marlins lost the first game of this series vs. the Tigers, and they are just 5-15 on the road this year.
At home, the Marlins are only 6-17, and they have really struggled in night games, going 4-17. Miami has dropped three straight series and has an overall series record of 1-11-1 this year. As the underdog, the Marlins are 8-21 compared to 3-11 as the favorite.
The Marlins have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 8-12. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog. Miami’s average run margin in losses is -3.9.
The Miami Marlins have been on a roll hitting the over, with their last four games all going over the total. Their combined run average this season is 9.5, and their over/under record is 26-17. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have gone over 12 times and under 7 times. Overall, the percentage of their games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs is 18.6%.
Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.54. Weathers has a WHIP of 1.32 and has turned in three quality starts this year. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Weathers has taken the loss in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.34 strikeouts and 3.46 walks. On the road, his ERA is 3.11 compared to 7.75 at home.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Miami’s team batting average is just .229, which is 19th in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat so far, as his eight home runs are 6th in the league. He also leads the team with 22 RBIs and is batting .262. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Nick Gordon are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers. Chisholm Jr. is batting .256 for the season and is on a four-game hitting streak.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 21-20 overall and 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 4.5 games. So far, they have gone 10-6 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games, but they did take the first game of this series vs. the Marlins.
At home, the Tigers are 10-11 this year compared to an 11-9 mark on the road. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 11-8 and 10-12 as the underdog. So far, they are 6-5-2 in series this year but have dropped three straight series.
The Tigers have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 19-22 overall. However, they have been much better on the road, where they are 13-7 ATS. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 6-15 ATS. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 15-7 ATS, but a poor bet as a favorite, going just 4-15 ATS. Their average run differential this season is +0.1 runs per game.
The Tigers have had a recent run of games going over the total, with three straight games going over the total. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-19 on the season. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 3-5, and only 9.8% of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 8.5 runs.
Through seven starts, Reese Olson is still looking for his first win of the season, as he comes in with a record of 0-4 and ERA of 2.52. Overall, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.01 strikeouts per nine innings. Olsen’s most recent outing came against the Guardians, where he gave up one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Olsen has only given up one homer in his last three outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.35 compared to 3.51 on the road.
Andy Ibáñez has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers of late, going 10/27 in his last eight games, including two homers and five RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Mark Canha and Riley Greene are the Tigers’ top two home run hitters this season, with Canha leading the team with 20 RBIs and Greene sitting in 2nd with 19 RBIs.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including a team batting average of .228. Detroit’s team OPS of .668 is 22nd in the league. As a team, the Tigers are batting just .167 over their last nine games.