Los Angeles Angels vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 5/6/24

At 6:40 PM from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, we have an interleague matchup between the Angels and Pirates. Heading into Monday’s game, the Angels are 12-22, while the Pirates come in with a record of 16-19. Mitch Keller is set to start for the Pirates, and he is facing off against Tyler Anderson for the Angels.
Pittsburgh is at home and is the favorite on the money line at -142, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Looking at the odds for the Angels, they are sitting at +118. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by SN PT.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -142
This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, May 6th.
HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Angels Records & Stats
The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 4-1 loss. Los Angeles was the +130 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Angels, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Guardians scored in the bottom of the 2nd.
Griffin Canning put together a good start for the Angels, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out five. However, he took the loss, as the Angels could only score one run. Cole Tucker was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a double and a run scored. The rest of the Angels lineup only had four other hits.
Los Angeles is 12-22 overall and trails the Mariners by seven games in the AL West. The Angels are just 4-11 at home compared to 8-11 on the road. So far, they have yet to play a game in the AL West. The Angels have dropped two straight games and went 1-2 in their series vs. the Guardians.
So far, the Angels have really struggled in day games, going 2-12. As the underdog, the Angels are 11-19 this year and 1-3 as the favorite. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 1-9-1, and they have dropped five straight series at home.
When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 16-18, but they are 11-8 against the run line on the road. They are 16-14 against the run line as the underdog, but 0-4 as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Angels-Pirates game is a bit lower than the Angels’ average over/under line of 9 runs this season. The Angels have played 26 games with higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 18-15, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 2-2-1.
Left-hander Tyler Anderson gets the start for the Angels today as he faces off against the Pirates on the road. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 2.23. Anderson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight outings. Anderson has given up at least one homer in each of his last four starts.
So far this season, the Angels offense has been pretty average, as they are 19th in the league in runs per game (4.1). They have also been a pretty average team in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Angels have been a good home run hitting team so far, as their 36 homers are the 10th most in the league.
Mike Trout has been the Angels’ top power hitter this season, as his 10 home runs lead the league and is also the best mark on the team. However, he is batting just .220 for the season. Taylor Ward is batting .279 and has 24 RBIs, which is 8th best in the league. Over his last five games, Luis Rengifo is hitting .500 with two homers.
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Rockies in the top of the 2nd, the Pirates responded with three runs of their own. Pittsburgh went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Pirates was Bailey Falter, who picked up the win. He went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Oneil Cruz had only two hits, but one of them was a home run, and the Pirates scored a total of five runs.
Pittsburgh is hosting the Angels today with an overall record of 16-19, which has them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by five games in the division. The Pirates are on a two-game winning streak, closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a win and picking up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Angels.
At home, the Pirates are 7-8 this year and 9-11 on the road. So far, they have been favored 14 times and are just 5-9 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, the Pirates are 11-10 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Pirates are 4-4-3 this year, and they won their most recent series vs. the Rockies.
When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.7 runs. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs. Overall, Pittsburgh’s run line record is 18-17, with a run line record of 7-8 at home and 11-9 on the road. They are 14-7 against the run line as an underdog and 4-10 as a favorite.
The Pirates have had an over/under record of 14-21 this season, with the average line set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8, their record is 3-5. The combined run average in their games this season is 7.6 runs per game. In 42.9% of their games, the line has been set at over 8 runs, while in 34.3% of their games, the line has been set at under 8 runs.
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. Against the Athletics, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Looking back over his last three starts, Keller has given up at least two home runs in each outing. His ERA for the season is 5.17, along with a record of 2-3. Keller’s WHIP for the season is 1.48. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 8.78 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 27th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.6 runs per contest. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting a collective .225, which is 21st in the league. One positive is that they are 3rd in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .308.
Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds are the Pirates’ top home run hitters this season, but Reynolds is batting just .243 for the season and has gone just 6/36 in his last nine games. Cruz is also batting below the Mendoza line in that stretch, going 7/29. Ke’Bryan Hayes and Cruz have each hit two homers in their last nine games.