Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 4/20/24

At 7:20 PM ET, the Braves and Rangers will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta and features a Braves club that is 13-5 overall. As for the Rangers, they are 11-10 and are sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound vs. Charlie Morton for the Braves.

Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Braves are the favorite at -160 on the money line. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by BSSW.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -160

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Saturday, April 20th.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rangers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Atlanta picked up an easy 8-3 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -207 on the money line.

Chris Sale started for the Braves and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a rare five walks. Andrew Heaney only went five innings for the Rangers, giving up three earned runs on three hits.

Travis d’Arnaud and Michael Harris II each had three hits and combined for five RBIs. Marcus Semien hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs.

Rangers Records & Stats

Texas currently leads the AL West on a record of 11-10. Their lead is just one game, as the Mariners are right behind them. So far, the Rangers have been the favorite in 10 of their games, and they have gone 4-6 in those contests. As the underdog, they have been much better at 7-4.

Looking at their overall series record, Texas is 3-2-1, and their most series came in their most recent matchup with the Tigers. On the road, the Rangers are above .500 at 6-5.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Overall, their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, and they are 10-11 against the run line this season. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog than as the favorite, going 7-4 vs. the run line as the underdog and 3-7 as the favorite. They are 6-5 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 4-6 vs. the run line at home.

The Texas Rangers are on a three-game over streak, and their games this season have averaged 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 11-10, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 2-1, and their games have had an average of 11 runs scored. Only 19% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher this season.

Nathan Eovaldi and the Rangers are on the road to take on the Braves. Eovaldi has been solid in his first 3 starts, picking up a win in his last outing vs. the Rays, and he has 19 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings of work. He has given up a pair of homers in each of his last 2 starts.

Looking at the Rangers’ player projections, Marcus Semien has the highest total hits projection on the team and his total hits projection is 19th best in the league today. His home run projection is 3rd best on the team and 8th best in today’s slate. Corey Seager has the 2nd highest total hits projection for the Rangers and his total hits projection is 21st best in the league today. His home run projection is 2nd best on the team and 5th best in today’s slate. Adolis García has the 4th highest total hits projection on the team, but he does have the highest home run projection on the team and it is the 2nd best in today’s slate.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 13-5, the Braves lead the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Rangers. They are currently on a five-game winning streak, which is also their win streak as the favored team. So far, they have yet to be the underdog in a game, with a record of 13-5 as the favorite.

Looking at their series record, the Braves are 4-1-1 and have won each of their last two series. They closed out their series with the Astros with a win and then picked up a win in the series opener with the Rangers.

When the Braves are the favorite, they are 9-9 against the run line. They have a run line record of 2-5 at home, where they are averaging a run margin of -0.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 9-9, with an average run margin of +1.9 runs per game. In their wins, they are averaging a run margin of +4.1 runs per game, compared to -3.8 runs per game in their losses. They have covered the run line in seven of their 11 road games, where they are 7-4 against the run line.

So far this season, the Braves have played 17 games, and 11 of them have gone over the total. Their games have averaged 11 runs per game, and their average over/under line has been 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their games have gone over the total three times and under the total three times.

Charlie Morton and the Braves are at home for his start against the Rangers. Morton has started the season with a win and a no-decision, and he has yet to allow an earned run. In his first start, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 6, and then in his last outing, he struck out 8 but gave up 6 runs.

Our model is giving Marcell Ozuna the best chance to hit a home run in today’s game, as he has the highest home run projection in the league. His total hits projection is 22nd in the league and 4th on the Braves. Ronald Acuña Jr. has the highest hits projection on the team and is 6th in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and 6th in the league.