St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/13/24
The Cardinals and Diamondbacks are set to face off in an NL matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Saturday. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix and features a Cardinals club that is 7-7 compared to the Diamondbacks at 6-8. The over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line at -112.
Looking at the starting pitching matchup for Saturday’s game, the Cardinals are sending Kyle Gibson to the mound vs. Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks. You can catch this one on TV on BSMW.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Chase Field at 8:10 ET on Saturday, April 13th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS DIAMONDBACKS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
St. Louis picked up a 9-6 road win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their nine runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were at +104 on the money line.
Steven Matz got the start for the Cardinals, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out two. Giovanny Gallegos got the win out of the bullpen, and Ryan Helsley got the save. Joe Mantiply took the loss for Arizona out of the bullpen.
Nolan Arenado and Lars Nootbaar each homered for the Cardinals, while Brendan Donovan went 3/4 with two RBIs. Masyn Winn also had a two-hit game at the plate and scored two runs.
Cardinals Records & Stats
As the Cardinals are on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, they are looking to move above .500, as they currently hold a record of 7-7. In the NL Central, they are in 5th place, trailing the Brewers by three games. So far, they have been good on the road, going 4-4.
St. Louis got to .500 by winning the series opener vs. the Diamondbacks. This came after dropping their series finale with the Phillies. The Cardinals are still looking to win a series, as they are currently 2-2 in series matchups this season.
When the Cardinals are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, going 6-2 so far this season. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and are 8-2 as the underdog. Their average run differential in losses is -3.0 runs per game.
The St. Louis Cardinals have had 13 games with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs this season, and the over has hit in 1 of those games. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 6-7. The over/under line for today’s game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 9.5 runs.
Kyle Gibson and the Cardinals are on the road to take on the Diamondbacks today. Gibson is coming off a win in his first start of the season, where he went 7 innings and gave up 2 runs. He did give up a couple of homers in that outing, but he did strike out 4 batters. In his most recent start, he took the loss, giving up 7 runs in 6 innings of work.
When it comes to the Cardinals’ hitting projections, Brendan Donovan has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 14th best in the league today. Paul Goldschmidt’s total hits projection is 2nd on the team and 23rd in the league. In terms of home runs, we have Nolan Gorman with the best odds to go deep on the team and the 7th best odds in the league. Willson Contreras is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and 9th in the league.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
With an overall record of 6-8, the Diamondbacks are in 3rd place in the NL West. Currently, they are three games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. In their series vs. the Cardinals, the Diamondbacks will be looking to pick up a win, as they are coming off a series loss to the Rockies.
At home, Arizona has gone 4-4 this season and 2-4 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in four straight games and have gone 1-5 as the underdog this season.
When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run differential of 5.5 runs per game. However, they are just 8-6 against the run line this season, including a 5-3 mark at home. They have covered the run line in four of eight games as the favorite and four of six games as the underdog. They are 3-3 against the run line on the road and have covered the run line in their last game as the home team.
The Diamondbacks’ games have been high-scoring this season, with their combined run average at 10.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 8-6, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 2-2. So far, 50% of their games have had lower lines than 9.5 runs, and 21.4% have had higher lines. Their game today against the Cardinals had a combined 15 runs, going over the 9.5-run line.
Looking to get his first win of the season, Ryne Nelson will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks as they host the Cardinals. Nelson has started two games this season, and both have been losses. He went 5 innings in his first start, giving up 3 earned runs and then went just 2 2/3 innings in his last outing, giving up 4 runs.
For the Diamondbacks, we like Ketel Marte to have a good game at the plate. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 11th best home run projection in today’s games. We also have Eugenio Suárez and Joc Pederson with the 2nd best home run projections on the team and 14th best in today’s games. If you’re looking for a longshot, Corbin Carroll has the 3rd best home run projection on the team and 15th best in today’s games.