New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 4/6/24

It’s a National League matchup tonight at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, as the Reds host the Mets. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM. The Mets are looking to improve on their 2-5 record, while the Reds are sitting at 4-3.
Luis Severino will get the start for the Mets, while Nick Martinez will take the mound for the Reds. Looking at the money line, the Reds are currently favored at -121, while the Mets come in at +100. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the over paying out at -120 and the under at -101.
CINCINNATI REDS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -121
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, April 6th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
The Mets and Reds played a low-scoring game in the last matchup of this series, with the Mets coming away with a 3-2 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight underdog at +113. The money line odds were close because the Reds had more hits than the Mets (7 to 4) and hit the same number of home runs.
Jose Quintana got the start for the Mets and went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. However, he didn’t factor into the decision, as Drew Smith picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz got the save. Fernando Cruz took the loss for the Reds.
Offensively, the Mets got their runs via the long ball, with Jeff McNeil going deep and Brett Baty also driving in a run. Spencer Steer hit a home run for the Reds, while Jonathan India went 3/5 with a run scored.
Mets Records & Stats
Luis Severino is getting the start for the Mets today against the Reds. He is coming off a loss in his first start of the season, where he gave up 3 earned runs over 5 innings and struck out 6. He did give up a home run in that outing.
If you’re looking for some Mets players to potentially have a big game at the plate, our projections have Jeff McNeil with the best chance to have the most hits for the Mets, as his total is 18th best in the league today. He also has the 17th best chance to hit a home run today. Pete Alonso has the best odds to hit a home run for the Mets, as his odds are 7th best in the league. If you’re looking for a longshot, Francisco Alvarez has the 10th best odds to hit a home run in today’s games.
Reds Records & Stats
Nick Martinez will be taking the mound for the Reds at home against the Mets. In his first start of the season, Martinez went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs on 6 hits. He did strike out 3 batters but did allow a home run.
When looking at the Reds’ hitting projections, we see that Christian Encarnacion-Strand is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his total is 19th best in the league today. He also has the best odds to hit a home run on the team, with the 8th best odds in the league. Jonathan India is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his total is 24th best in the league. His odds to hit a home run are 11th best in the league. Jeimer Candelario is 7th on the team in terms of total hits, and his odds to hit a home run are 11th best in the league.