Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24
At 7:30 ET, the Sacramento Kings (+358) will take on the Boston Celtics (-470) in a non-conference matchup. The Kings (44-32) are currently 8th in the Western Conference, while the Celtics (60-16) are first in the East.
Boston is favored by 10 points, and the over/under line is set at 225.5. The game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and can be seen on NBCS.
SACRAMENTO KINGS VS BOSTON CELTICS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Sacramento Kings +10
This game will be played at TD Garden at 7:30 ET on Friday, April 5th.
WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-112 in favor of the Celtics.
- Our projections have Jayson Tatum finishing with Jayson Tatum points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 19 threes.
Can the Sacramento Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Sacramento has gone 36-39-1 on the over/under this season, and 63 of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 225.5. This year, their games have averaged 232.8 points per game.
The Kings are 11-13 as underdogs this season, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games as underdogs. On the road, they are 22-16 ATS compared to 16-22 at home.
In their last game against the Knicks, the Kings lost by a score of 120-109. The O/U line for that game was 212.5, and Sacramento was getting 3.5 points as the underdog.
Sacramento is currently in 8th place in the Western Conference with a record of 44-32. Against the West, they are 29-19 and 10-6 in their division. On the road, they are 21-17.
The Kings have lost their last two games as the underdog and are 11-13 as underdogs this season. Today, they are getting 10 points on the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog is 14-10 on the road and 24-28 overall.
Heading into tonight’s game against the Celtics, the Kings are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league. They are currently 5th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game at 14.2. However, they are just 15th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%.
Overall, Sacramento is 9th in the league in scoring at 117 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 115.4 points per game compared to 118.7 at home.
When it comes to pace, the Kings are 13th in the NBA at 99.3 possessions per game. So far this season, they have outscored the league average in 59.2% of their games.
On defense, the Kings come into the game ranked 19th in the league in points allowed at 115.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 107 points per contest (22nd). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Kings squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.9% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 39.1% from downtown.
Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Boston?
The Celtics have won three straight games as the favorite and are 58-15 straight-up as the favorite this season. Today, they are favored by 10 points. In their other three games as the underdog, they are 2-1.
In their last three games as the favorite, the Celtics have gone 37-33 against the spread and are 20-15 ATS at home. Overall, their ATS record is 39-34.
In terms of their O/U record for the season, the Celtics are 39-36-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 230.4 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 225.5.
Boston is coming off a 135-100 win over the Thunder, where they were favored by 12 points. The teams easily surpassed the O/U line of 229. This win improved the Celtics’ overall record to 60-16, which is the best in the Eastern Conference.
In non-conference games, the Celtics have gone 21-7 compared to 39-9 against the East. On the road, they are 27-13 compared to 33-3 at home.
When playing at home, the Celtics are averaging 123.7 points per game, which is 2nd in the league. Overall, they are 2nd in the NBA in scoring at 121 points per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they lead the NBA in both attempts and makes, hitting 39% from beyond the arc.
For the season, the Celtics are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also 1st in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, Boston is 18th at 97.3 possessions per game.
So far, the Celtics have outscored the NBA scoring average in 75% of their games. When it comes to assists, they are 14th in the league at 26.8 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 14th in the NBA.
Not only do the Celtics’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 5th in the league in points allowed. Boston has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 29th in the league over their last three games at 98.7 PPG allowed. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Celtics defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.2% while allowing 34.6% from downtown.