UNCG Spartans vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Spartans and Buccaneers. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Buccaneers at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, TN. Get ready to place your bets! In this Southern matchup, UNCG is favored by -2 vs. East Tennessee State. The over/under for the game is 135.5 points.
UNCG SPARTANS VS EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +2
This game will be played at Freedom Hall Civic Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.
WHY BET THE EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Buccaneers.
- Not only will East Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will UNCG Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
UNCG is 21-9 overall and 12-5 in Southern Conference play. They are 9-6 on the road this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games away from home.
As the favorite, the Spartans are 15-5 this season, and they have been favored in 20 of their 30 games. In their last game, they defeated VMI by a score of 100-58.
Against the spread, UNCG has a record of 13-15 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-7. As the favorite, the Spartans are 9-11 vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the favorite, UNCG has gone 5-5 ATS.
So far this season, the over/under record for UNCG games is 17-11. Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.
UNCG’s offense had a good outing, putting up 100 points against VMI. They achieved a 57.8% field goal percentage and went 10/12 from the free-throw line. The UNCG offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 40% of their looks from outside this season.
Currently, the Spartans’ defense holds the 105th rank in the nation, allowing 69.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UNCG’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.
Does East Tennessee State Have a Shot at a Home Win?
East Tennessee State comes into this game as a 2-point underdog, and they have been the underdog in 17 of their 30 games this season. Their record as the underdog is 4-13, while they are 9-2 when favored.
At home, the Buccaneers have gone 8-4 this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +2.8 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 6-4.
Against the spread, East Tennessee State has an even 14-14 record this season. At home, the Buccaneers are 6-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, ETSU is 10-7 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bucs have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record in East Tennessee State games is 15-13 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and during their last five games, the average scoring total is 148 points. So far, their over/under record in their last 10 games is 4-6.
East Tennessee State is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 81 points vs. Citadel. This figure is more than their season average of 70.4 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Ebby Asamoah with 20 points. Jaden Seymour also added 14 points for the Buccaneers.
At present, the Buccaneers’ defense is nationally ranked 98th, allowing 69.4 points per game. The East Tennessee State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 63 points and allowed Citadel to connect on 1 threes.