Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 2/12/24
Betting on today’s Lions and Lions game? Catch the action at The Field House in Commerce, TX, as the Lions hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. Southeastern Louisiana come into this Southland conference matchup as the -1.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 130 points.
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA LIONS VS TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Southeastern Louisiana Lions -1.5
This game will be played at The Field House at 8:00 ET on Monday, February 12th.
WHY BET THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA LIONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lions.
- Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Lions?
After winning their last game against Northwestern State by a score of 69-59, Southeastern Louisiana comes into this game with an 11-13 overall record and a four-game win streak. On the road, the Lions are 4-10 this season and 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
For the season, Southeastern Louisiana has been the favorite in nine of their games, going 5-4 in those matchups. So far, they have gone 6-5 in Southland Conference games compared to a 5-8 record in non-conference matchups.
Against the spread, Southeastern Louisiana is 11-10 this season. On the road, they have an ATS mark of 8-6. As the favorite, the Lions are 4-5 vs. the spread this year. In their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS.
So far this season, the over/under record for Southeastern Louisiana games is 8-13. Today’s line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (141.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.
The Lions’ offense finished with 69 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 68.3 points per contest. Nick Caldwell was the leading scorer for the Lions, putting up 15 points. In addition, Roscoe Eastmond contributed 14 points.
So far, the Lions’ defense is ranked 114th in the country at 69.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. Texas A&M-Commerce. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.
Can the Lions Please their Home Crowd?
Despite being the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has played better at home this season, going 4-5 compared to their 2-10 road record. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -1.6, and they come into this game on a two-game winning streak at home. For the season, they have a record of 9-15, including a 3-8 mark in Southland Conference play.
Coming off an 89-83 win over New Orleans, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home. As the underdog, they have gone 3-12 this season, and they are 3-3 when favored. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of -17.8 on the road.
As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 6-9 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Lions are 5-4 ATS and 4-4 over their last 10 games. Overall, their ATS record is 9-12.
This season, the over/under record for Texas A&M-Commerce games is 7-14. The average scoring total in their games is 142 points, while the average over/under line is 141.8. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 130.
Texas A&M-Commerce’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 89 points vs. New Orleans. Overall, they hit 50.8% of their shots from the field and went 16/22 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Lions have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, ranking 353rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 330th in terms of percentage and 39th in three-pointers made.
So far, the Lions’ defense is ranked 213rd in the country at 73.7 points per contest. The Texas A&M-Commerce defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 83 points and allowed New Orleans to connect on 11 threes.