New Orleans Privateers vs Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 2/10/24

Looking to win big? The Privateers and Lions face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lions are hosting the game at The Field House in Commerce, TX. The over/under for this Southland conference contest is set at 147 points, with Texas A&M-Commerce being favored by -3.5 at home against New Orleans.

NEW ORLEANS PRIVATEERS VS TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions -3.5

This game will be played at The Field House at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Lions.
• Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Privateers Make it Happen in Commerce?

After winning their last game against Houston Christian by a score of 84-58, New Orleans is 8-15 overall and 3-7 in Southland Conference action. On the road, the Privateers are just 1-12 this season, and their average scoring margin is -17.2.

So far, New Orleans has been the underdog in 12 of their 23 games, and they have gone 1-11 in those games. The Privateers’ record as the underdog is the worst in the Southland Conference.

As the underdog, New Orleans has gone 6-6 vs. the spread this season and they are 8-11 overall. On the road, the Privateers have an ATS mark of 6-7 and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record in New Orleans games is 13-6. The average point total in their games this year is 154.3, which is 1.9 points higher than the average over/under line of 152.4. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 158 points.

New Orleans recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 84 points against Houston Christian. This output exceeded their season average of 75.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jordan Johnson, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 21.8, while Khaleb Wilson-Rouse also maintains a PPG average of 11.2 leading up to the game.

Looking at the New Orleans defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.7 points per game (311st). New Orleans’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Houston Christian offense to knock down 51% of their shots on their way to putting up 58 points.

Pressure Builds for Texas A&M-Commerce as Home Favorites

After losing their last game to McNeese State by a score of 77-51, Texas A&M-Commerce will look to get back on track as they host New Orleans. So far this season, the Lions have gone 8-15, including a 2-8 mark in Southland Conference action.

At home, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 3-5, and over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 5-5. For the season, they have been favored in five games, going 2-3 in those contests.

As the favorite this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 2-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions are just 2-8 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas A&M-Commerce games is 6-14, and today’s line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line of 141.5 in their games. The average scoring total in their last three games is 130 points, and their OU record over their last three games is 0-3.

In contrast to their season average of 71 points per game, the Texas A&M-Commerce had a below average performance. They scored 51 points against McNeese State and had a field goal percentage of 28.9%. For the season, the Texas A&M-Commerce offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 322nd in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 42%.

In terms of defense, Texas A&M-Commerce is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. McNeese State, the Cowboys finished with a field goal percentage of 54% and a total of 77 points vs. Texas A&M-Commerce.