Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats Betting Pick & Prediction 2/3/24

Planning on watching today’s Golden Eagles and Bobcats game? Catch the action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX, as the Bobcats hosts this showdown at 5:15 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 134 points, with Texas State being favored by -2 at home against Southern Miss.
SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES VS TEXAS STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats -2
This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 5:15 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Bobcats.
- Not only will Texas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 134 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Do the Golden Eagles Have a Shot at a Win at San Marcos?
After losing their last two games, Southern Miss will look to get back on track as they take on Texas State. So far this season, the Golden Eagles are 12-10, including a 6-4 record in Sun Belt Conference play. On the road, they have gone 5-6, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home.
For the year, Southern Miss has been the underdog in 12 of their 22 games, going 5-7 in those matchups. Most recently, they were defeated by Arkansas State by a score of 78-71. Through their last 10 road games, the Golden Eagles have gone 5-5, and their average scoring margin on the road is -6.0 points per game.
Against the spread, Southern Miss has gone 8-12 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 4-7, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Southern Miss games sits at 9-10-1. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 144.1 points compared to an average over/under line of 143.8, resulting in a margin of +0.3. Today’s over/under line of 134 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year and over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
The Southern Miss offense is coming off a game in which they scored 71 points vs. Arkansas State. Overall their field goal percentage was 35.6% while connecting on 5 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Austin Crowley who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.6. Donovan Ivory also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.6.
At this time, the Golden Eagles’ defense is positioned 148th in the country, permitting 71.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. Arkansas State, the Red Wolves finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 78 points vs. Southern Miss.
Will Texas State Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
After winning their last game against South Alabama by a score of 74-66, the Texas State Bobcats come into this game with an 8-14 record. They have gone 2-8 in Sun Belt play and 6-6 in non-conference action. At home, the Bobcats have gone 2-6 this season, and their average scoring margin at home is -4.6 points per game.
So far this season, Texas State has been favored in seven games, going 4-3 in those contests. They have gone 2-11 when they are the underdog. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bobcats have gone 4-6, and they are 1-4 in their last five.
As the favorite this season, Texas State has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. At home, the Bobcats are just 2-6 ATS this year and have gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Texas State has a 5-5 ATS record.
Today’s over/under line of 134 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas State games this year (138.4). So far, the over/under record in their games is 9-11. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points.
The Texas State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. South Alabama. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Brandon Love, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 11.1, while Kaden Gumbs also carries a PPG average of 9.8 into the game.
So far, the Bobcats’ defense is ranked 162nd in the country at 71.7 points per contest. Texas State’s three-point defense is currently 54th in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. Texas State.