Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/3/24
At 8:30 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (-184) will travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (+151) in a non-conference matchup. The Bucks (32-16) have dropped two straight and are currently favored by four points over the Mavericks (26-22), who are 8th in the Western Conference.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, and can be seen on BSSW.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -4
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-106 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 16 threes.
Are the Bucks Ready for a Win at Dallas?
Today, the Bucks are favored by 4 points against the Mavericks. This season, Milwaukee has been favored in 45 of their 48 games and has a 32-13 record as the favorite. As the favorite, they have gone 17-28 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +5.3 points per game.
In their last game against the Trail Blazers, the Bucks lost by a score of 119-116. Milwaukee was favored by 10.5 points going into the game, and this loss dropped their ATS record to 18-30 for the season. The O/U line for the game was 237.5.
On the season, the Bucks have an O/U record of 28-20, and their games have averaged 243.8 points per game. In their last two games, the under has hit, and today’s O/U line is set at 249.5.
Looking at the Eastern Conference standings, the Bucks are currently in 2nd place with a record of 32-16. In non-conference games, they are 8-4 compared to 24-12 against the East. In the Central Division, the Bucks are in 1st place.
On the road, the Bucks are 11-11 this season, and they have gone 8-14 ATS on the road. Their average scoring differential on the road is +1.0 PPG.
Heading into their matchup with the Mavericks, the Bucks are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, averaging 123.9 points per game (2nd). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 77.1% of their games.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 5th in the league in made threes per game (14.2) and are hitting 37% of their attempts (7th). Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field (4th).
In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 3rd in the league at 101.9 possessions per game. However, they are just 26th in offensive rebounds (9.5) and are 15th in assists (26.5).
Coming into today’s game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 119.9 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Bucks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.6% and 34.5% from three-point territory.
Can Dallas Lock in a Home Win?
Dallas is coming off a tough 121-87 loss to the Timberwolves. They were 12.5-point underdogs in that game and are now 2-3 straight-up and 0-5 ATS in their last five games. The Mavs are 26-22 on the season, which is good for 8th in the Western Conference.
As the underdog, Dallas has gone 9-13 ATS this season and is 8-14 straight-up. Today, they are 4-point underdogs and have gone 2-3 ATS as the underdog.
This season, the Mavericks have gone 11-15 ATS at home and have an average scoring differential of +2.4 points per game. Their overall ATS record is 24-24, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last four home games.
In their games this season, the average O/U line has been 235.1 points, and their games have averaged 236.9 points. The Mavericks’ O/U record for the season is 26-22.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.0 points per game, which is 9th in the league. Overall, they are 10th in scoring at 118.2 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA with 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the top teams in the league. They are 2nd in both three-point attempts (40.5 per game) and makes (15 per game). Overall, Dallas is hitting 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.
So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA average in 54.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Dallas is 17th in the league at 47%. When it comes to two-pointers, the Mavericks are 9th in the NBA with a 55% shooting percentage.
Facing Milwaukee, the Mavericks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 118.6 points allowed per game (22nd). In the terms of takeaways, Mavericks are causing 11.9 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 26th in rejections, averaging 4.3 blocked shots each game.