Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/24/24

At 8:00 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (-267) will host the Cleveland Cavaliers (+215) at Fiserv Forum. This Eastern Central division matchup will be televised on BSW.
The Bucks (30-13) are currently favored by 6.5 points and have won two straight games. The Cavaliers (26-15) are on an eight-game win streak and are 4th in the Eastern Conference.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5
This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 24th.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 120-117 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 16 threes.
Do the Cavaliers Stand a Chance on the Road?
The Cavaliers come into today’s game as 6.5-point underdogs and have gone 2-2 straight up as the underdog. The team’s average scoring differential as the underdog is -3.5 points per game.
Cleveland has won eight straight games and has a record of 26-15, which is good for 4th place in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Cavaliers are 18-9 and 5-3 against division opponents.
On the road, the Cavaliers have an average scoring differential of +3.6 points per game. Against the spread, they are 10-6 on the road and have covered in their last two games. Overall, their ATS record is 22-17.
In their most recent game, the Cavaliers defeated the Magic by a score of 126-99. The O/U line for that game was 215 points. Cleveland was favored by 2 points going into the game.
This season, the Cavaliers have an O/U record of 19-21-1, and 36 of their 41 games have had lower over/under lines than today’s (236). On average, their games have finished with 223.7 points.
This season, the Cavaliers’ offense has struggled to score at the NBA average, as they have been held below the league average in 58.5% of their games. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 114 points per game.
When playing on the road, Cleveland is averaging 113 points per game, which is 19th in the league. In terms of pace, they are 22nd at 97.9 possessions per game.
So far, the Cavaliers are 11th in field goal percentage at 47%. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 11th in both makes and attempts. From inside the arc, Cleveland is 7th in shooting percentage.
This season, the Cavaliers defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the league while permitting an average of 109.7 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Cavaliers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.3% and allowing 35.0% from beyond the arc.
Does Milwaukee Have a Shot at a Home Win?
As the favorite, the Bucks have gone 30-11 this season, and they have been favored in 41 of their 43 games. In their last four games, they have won as the favorite. Against the spread, they are 15-26 as the favorite, and they have lost their last four games ATS as the favorite.
Milwaukee’s O/U record for the season is 26-17, and their games have averaged 245 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 236, which is lower than their season average of 239.5.
In their last game, the Bucks defeated the Pistons by a score of 122-113. The O/U line for that game was 247.5, giving them an under result. Milwaukee was favored by 12.5 points in that game.
The Bucks are currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 30-13. In non-conference games, they are 7-2 and 23-11 against the East. Milwaukee has won their last three games and are 19-4 at home.
For the season, the Bucks are 16-27 ATS and have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games. As the favorite, they are 8-15 ATS at home and 8-12 on the road.
The Bucks are one of the NBA’s highest-scoring teams, averaging 124.6 points per game (2nd). At home, they are averaging 126.0 points per game (2nd).
Milwaukee is a top-5 team in three-point shooting, making an average of 14.2 threes per game (5th). Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.
In terms of pace, the Bucks are 2nd in the league at 102.1 possessions per game. Additionally, they are 2nd in true shooting percentage.
So far, the Bucks’ defense is ranked 25th in the league at 120.5 points per contest. The Milwaukee defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Milwaukee.