Chattanooga Mocs vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/21/24

The Mocs and Buccaneers are set to face off at 3:00 ET on ESPN2. The Buccaneers will host the game at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, TN. The Mocs are the favored team in this Southern conference contest against the Buccaneers. The game’s over/under currently sits at 144 points.
CHATTANOOGA MOCS VS EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +1
This game will be played at Freedom Hall Civic Center at 3:00 ET on Sunday, January 21st.
WHY BET THE EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Buccaneers.
- Not only will East Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can the Mocs Lock in a Win at Johnson City?
Chattanooga has been a much better team at home than on the road this season, going 6-2 compared to 3-5. The Mocs are favored by 1 point today, and they have gone 8-3 when favored this season.
Overall, Chattanooga is 11-7, including a 3-2 record in Southern Conference play. In their last game, the Mocs beat Mercer 74-60.
Chattanooga’s ATS record for the season is currently 7-9, but they have gone just 1-4 vs. the spread as the underdog. Their ATS mark as the favorite is 6-5, and they have gone 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite. On the road, the Mocs have gone 3-5 ATS this season and are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Today’s over/under line of 144 is a bit lower than the average OU line in Chattanooga’s games this year (148.8). So far, 11 of their games have had higher OU lines than today’s total. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points compared to their season average of 148.6 points per game.
The Mocs’ offense finished with 74 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 78.3 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Mocs have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 162nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 225th in terms of percentage and 11th in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Mocs’ defense holds the 125th rank in the nation, allowing 70.3 points per game. The Chattanooga defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Mercer to connect on 4 threes.
Is a Home Win Possible for the Buccaneers?
East Tennessee State comes into this game as a slight underdog, with a record of 9-9 overall and 1-4 in Southern Conference play. They have lost four straight games, including a 75-73 loss to Wofford in their most recent contest.
At home this season, the Buccaneers have been strong, going 5-1, and they have been even better recently, going 4-1 in their last five games and 9-1 in their last 10.
As the underdog this season, East Tennessee State has an ATS record of 6-5. Their overall ATS record is 8-8 and they are 3-3 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Buccaneers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
East Tennessee State’s over/under record this season is 10-6 and today’s line of 144 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141.3). So far, they’ve had 12 games with lower over/under lines than today’s OU line and their games have averaged 141.5 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.
In their previous game, the Buccaneers’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 71.4 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jaden Seymour who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15. Quimari Peterson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.2.
At present, the Buccaneers’ defense is nationally ranked 112nd, allowing 69.8 points per game. The East Tennessee State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed Wofford to connect on 11 threes.