New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/15/24

Today at 2:30 ET, the New Orleans Pelicans (-173) will travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (+142) in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Pelicans are favored by 4 points and have an overall record of 24-16. Dallas is 23-17 and currently sits 7th in the Western Conference.
Today’s game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on BSSW.
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +4
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 2:30 ET on Monday, January 15th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-110 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.8% and knocking down 18 threes.
Can New Orleans Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?
In their most recent game, the Pelicans defeated the Mavericks by a score of 118-108. New Orleans covered the spread as 6-point underdogs, and the combined scoring total of 226 was below the O/U line of 228. This win improved the Pelicans’ overall record to 24-16.
As the Pelicans look to sweep their back-to-back against the Mavericks, they are favored by 4 points. This season, New Orleans has gone 13-8 as the favorite and has a 3-game ATS win streak as the favorite.
In Western Conference play, the Pelicans are 17-14 compared to 7-2 against non-conference opponents. This puts them in 5th place in the West, and they are also in 1st place in the Southwest Division.
This season, the Pelicans have an average scoring differential of +4.5 points per game on the road. Their ATS record on the road is 11-9 compared to 12-8 straight up. Overall, their ATS record is 23-17.
On average, the Pelicans’ games have finished with 228.1 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 235.5. This season, 31 of their 40 games have had lower O/U lines than 235.5.
The Pelicans are one of the top-scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 116.4 points per game (12th). On the road, they are averaging 117.3 PPG (9th). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.5% of their games.
When it comes to shooting, the Pelicans are 7th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also 6th in three-point shooting at 38%. However, they are just 21st in three-point makes and 28th in three-point attempts.
New Orleans is one of the top teams at getting to the free-throw line, averaging 25 attempts per game (6th). In terms of pace, they are 20th in the league.
At present, the Pelicans’ defense is ranked 10th, allowing 111.7 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Pelicans defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.8% while allowing 34.0% from downtown.
Will the Mavericks Win at American Airlines Center?
In their last game, the Mavericks fell to the Pelicans by a score of 118-108. The O/U line for that game was 228 points. Dallas was favored by 6 points in that game, and the loss dropped their overall record to 23-17.
As the underdog, the Mavericks have gone 6-9 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last five games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 4 points against the Pelicans.
Dallas has an O/U record of 23-17 this season, and their games have averaged 235.6 points per game. This is slightly higher than today’s line of 235.5.
In Western Conference play, the Mavericks are 17-14, which has them in 7th place. Against the spread, they are 22-18 for the season, going 10-11 at home and 12-7 on the road.
Overall, the Mavericks are 2nd in the Southwest Division. In their last game, the Pelicans beat them by a score of 118-108. This loss was also a no-cover for the Mavericks, as they were favored by 6 points.
At home, the Mavericks’ offense has been slightly better than their season average of 118.5 points per game. They are 9th in the NBA at 120.5 points per game at home. In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the top teams in the league. They are 2nd in both three-point attempts (41.1 per game) and makes (15.2 per game). Overall, the Mavericks are 16th in field goal percentage at 47%.
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.5% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 23rd in the league at 25.2 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, the Mavericks are 20th in the NBA.
So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 18th in the league at 117.1 points per contest. Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.7 turnovers per game, which is 2nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 25th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.4 rejections per game.