UC Davis Aggies vs Pacific Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Aggies versus the Tigers? Tip off is at at 5:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Alex G. Spanos Center in Stockton, CA. In this non-conference matchup, the Aggies are the betting favorite against the Tigers. The over/under for the game is 142.5 points.
UC DAVIS AGGIES VS PACIFIC TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pacific Tigers +7
This game will be played at Alex G. Spanos Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, December 16th.
WHY BET THE PACIFIC TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 72-71 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Pacific pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Will the Aggies Live Up to Expectations on the Road?
Heading into today’s matchup, UC Davis holds a 3-5 record. The Aggies are winless in three road games and have a 2-1 record at home. UC Davis has a subpar ATS record at 2-4. This includes a 1-2 record on the road vs. the spread and a 1-2 record at home.
UC Davis’ games have, on average, featured 138.5 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-4-0. Their average over/under line is currently 147.2 points so far. The Aggies’ last five games have culminated with an average of 137 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.
In their recent matchup, the UC Davis offense ended with 68 points against Nevada. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.4% and made 10 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Elijah Pepper, who is averaging 21.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ty Johnson also maintains a PPG average of 14.8 heading into game.
At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 101st in the country, permitting 68.7 points per game. So far, the UC Davis defense is giving up an average of 5.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 15.8 times per game (643rd).
Do the Tigers Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?
The Pacific Tigers are set to take on UC Davis today in their 12th game of the season. So far this year, they have a 4-7 record. All of their games this season have been played on the road. Entering today’s game, Pacific has a 1-10 record against the spread. This includes a 1-4 mark on the road and 0-6 at home.
Looking at their over/under performance through 11 games, Pacific has an over/under record of 3-8-0, with their games averaging 141.3 points per game on average. When assessing the Tigers’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-2, with their games averaging 138 points per game.
In their recent matchup, the Pacific offense ended with 56 points against Fresno State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.9% and made 7 threes. Judson Martindale is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 11.2. Meanwhile, Cam Denson also brings a PPG average of 9 into the game.
On the defensive side, Pacific is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 74.9 points per game. The Pacific defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 89 points and allowed Fresno State to connect on 16 threes.