Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick & Prediction 12/11/23

Looking to win big? The Nuggets and Hawks face off at 7:30 ET on BSSE. The Hawks are hosting the game at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA. The Nuggets come into this non-conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 240 points.

DENVER NUGGETS VS ATLANTA HAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Hawks +2.5

This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Monday, December 11th.

WHY BET THE ATLANTA HAWKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-110 in favor of the Hawks.
• Our projections have Trae Young finishing with Trae Young points, 2 rebounds and 8 assists.
• From the field, we have the Hawks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.4% and knocking down 14 threes.

Can the Nuggets Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

As they prepare to face the Hawks, the Nuggets are focused on adding to their above .500 record of 14-9. Currently, the team is in 4th place in the Western Conference and 3rd place in the Northwest division.

Denver comes in with an overall ATS record of 8-14 so far this season. During this season, Denver has a 7-12 record against the spread as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs.

In contrast to their season average of 113.6 points per game, the Nuggets had a below average performance. They scored 106 points against the Rockets and had a field goal percentage of 42.2%. Leading the team in scoring is Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 28.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Michael Porter Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 17.6 heading into game.

So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 8th in the league at 110.6 points per contest.

So far this season, the Nuggets’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 20th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 23.6 times per game vs. Denver.

Can Atlanta Deliver Being Underdogs at Home?

As the Hawks look to take on the Nuggets, they are below .500 at 9-12 overall. In their 21 games, the Hawks have gone 6-11 against Eastern Conference opponents, while going 3-1 in non-conference play.

Atlanta comes in with an overall ATS record of 5-16 so far this season. In their last seven home games, Atlanta has been unable to cover the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 1-8 at home compared to 4-8 on the road.

In contrast to their season average of 122.2 points per game, the Hawks had a below average performance. They scored 114 points against the 76ers and had a field goal percentage of 39.4%. The top scorer for the Hawks was De’Andre Hunter with 24 points, while Dejounte Murray also chipped in with 20 points.

At present, the Hawks’ defense is ranked 27th, allowing 122.5 points per game.

The Atlanta defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Atlanta.