Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Little Rock Trojans Betting Pick & Prediction 12/1/23

Looking to win big? The Red Wolves and Trojans face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Trojans are hosting the game at Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock, AR. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 160.5 points, with the Trojans being the favored team playing at home against the Red Wolves.
ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS LITTLE ROCK TROJANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Little Rock Trojans -1.5
This game will be played at Jack Stephens Center at 7:30 ET on Friday, December 1st.
WHY BET THE LITTLE ROCK TROJANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Trojans.
- Not only will Little Rock pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 160.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Will the Red Wolves Make it Happen in Little Rock?
In today’s game against Little Rock, the Arkansas State team, who have a 2-5 record overall, will be looking to improve their road record which is currently 1-4. At home, they have a 1-1 record. As of today’s game, Arkansas State holds a 3-4 record against the spread. In away games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread this season, but have a solid 6-4 ATS record in their last ten road games.
After seven games, Arkansas State has an over/under record of 2-5-0, with their games averaging a combined 156 points per game so far. The Red Wolves’ have recorded an over/under record of 0-3 in their last three games, with their games averaging 135 points per game.
The Red Wolves’ offense finished with 71 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75.4 points per contest. On offense, Arkansas State has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 41%. So far, they are 231st in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 66%.
Coming into today’s game, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 80.6 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Little Rock, the Arkansas State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Arkansas State made 15 free-throws vs. the Red Wolves.
Will the Trojans Live Up to Expectations at Home?
In today’s game against Arkansas State, the Little Rock team, who currently holds a 3-4 overall record, will be looking to improve their 1-4 home record over their previous five home games, which includes last year. At the moment, Little Rock has a below .500 ATS record of 2-4. In terms of ATS performance, the Trojans are 0-3 on the road and 2-1 when playing at home.
In seven games, Little Rock comes in with an over/under mark of 5-1-0, with their games averaging 164.5 points per game. The Trojans’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 157 points per game.
In their latest game, Little Rock’s offense looked good, scoring 90 points against Ball State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 63.8% and made 4/7 free throws. The top scorer for the Trojans was Bradley Douglas with 26 points, while Jamir Chaplin also chipped in with 17 points.
Coming into the game, Little Rock will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 82.4 points per game (227th). The Little Rock defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 64 points and allowed Ball State to connect on 12 threes.