Tarleton State Texans vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/23

Planning on watching today’s Texans and Lumberjacks game? Catch the action at Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, TX, as the Lumberjacks hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Western Athletic conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with the Lumberjacks being the favored team playing at home against the Texans.

TARLETON STATE TEXANS VS STEPHEN F. AUSTIN LUMBERJACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -9

This game will be played at Johnson Coliseum at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, November 29th.

WHY BET THE STEPHEN F. AUSTIN LUMBERJACKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 87-61 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
  • Not only will Stephen F. Austin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Will Tarleton State Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

After defeating Bakersfield with a score of 59-40, Tarleton State’s overall record now stands at 3-2. Looking back at their previous ten road games, which includes last year, Tarleton State has a 3-7 record. As Tarleton State gets ready to face Stephen F. Austin, their ATS record stands at 3-2. Looking back at their previous ten games, which includes the previous season, Tarleton State has gone 3-5 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Tarleton State have had an average of 130 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 134.5 points. Their over/under record is 3-2-0. When assessing the Texans’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-2, with their games averaging 62 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 68.8 points per game, the Tarleton State had a below average performance. They scored 59 points against Bakersfield and had a field goal percentage of 38.6%. Jakorie Smith is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.3. Meanwhile, Kiandre Gaddy also brings a PPG average of 12.3 into the game.

So far this season, the Tarleton State defense has been performing well, ranking 36th in the country at 63.7 points allowed per contest. In their previous game vs. Bakersfield, the Roadrunners finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 40 points vs. Tarleton State.

Taking a Look at the Lumberjacks Chances at Home

Stephen F. Austin has a 3-2 record after their first five games. In their previous ten home games, including last year, they are 4-6. Thus far, Stephen F. Austin holds a 3-2 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. When playing at home, Stephen F. Austin has gone 2-1 vs. the spread this season and 5-4-1 in their previous ten home games.

Stephen F. Austin’s games have, on average, featured 149 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-2-0. Their average over/under line is currently 146.9 points so far. When looking at the Lumberjacks’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 75 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Stephen F. Austin offense ended with 49 points against Utah State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 33.9% and made 3 threes. Sadaidriene Hall is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Latrell Jossell brings a PPG average of 9.7 into the game.

The Lumberjacks’ defense is presently ranked 124th nationally, allowing an average of 71.3 points per contest. In today’s game, the Stephen F. Austin defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 79 points.