Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Pacific Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/26/23

Looking to win big? The Delta Devils and Tigers face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Tigers are hosting the game at Alex G. Spanos Center in Stockton, CA. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 139 points, and the Tigers are favored to win at home vs. the Delta Devils.
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS VS PACIFIC TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +21
This game will be played at Alex G. Spanos Center at 5:00 ET on Sunday, November 26th.
WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Tigers.
- Even though we have Pacific winning straight-up, we like Mississippi Valley State at +21.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can the Delta Devils Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Heading into their 7th game of the season, Mississippi Valley State is winless at 0-6. So far, the Delta Devils have been the favored team in all of their previous matchups. As of today’s game, Mississippi Valley State has a 0-6 record against the spread. However, in their previous five games, they are 2-3 ATS.
Up to this point, games involving Mississippi Valley State have had an average of 136.8 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 142.7 points. Their over/under record is 1-5-0. The Delta Devils’ have recorded an over/under record of 0-3 in their last three games, with their games averaging 46 points per game.
The Delta Devils’ offense wrapped up their last game with 48 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 49.2 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Rayquan Brown, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15, while Donovan Sanders also maintains a PPG average of 9.7 leading up to the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Mississippi Valley State defense is giving up an average of 87.7 points per contest. In their previous game vs. CSUN, the Matadors finished with a field goal percentage of 44% and a total of 84 points vs. Mississippi Valley State.
Can Pacific Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
Pacific comes into their 7th game of the season with a record of 3-3. In their last five home games, including last year, Pacific has gone 1-4. Pacific has a sub .500 ATS record, sitting at 1-5. At home this season, Pacific is 0-4 ATS, and in their last ten home games, they are 4-6 against the spread.
Looking at their over/under performance through six games, Pacific has an over/under record of 2-4-0, with their games averaging 142.5 points per game on average. Looking at the Tigers’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with their games averaging 73 points per game.
Pacific recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 73 points against Le Moyne. This output exceeded their season average of 67.3 points per game. Judson Martindale is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 12.2. Meanwhile, Donovan Williams also brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 153rd, allowing 75.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Pacific’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 24.3% this season.