Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/16/24

At 7:30 ET on TNT, the 76ers (-179) will host the Nuggets (+148) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 227 points.

Denver comes into this game as the 3rd-best team in the West with a 28-13 record. They have won two straight games. Philadelphia is 3rd in the East with a 25-13 record and they have also won two straight games. The 76ers are favored by 4.5 points.

DENVER NUGGETS VS PHILADELPHIA 76ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Nuggets +4.5

This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.

WHY BET THE DENVER NUGGETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-117 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Nuggets Pull Off a Road Win?

Despite being the 3rd seed in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 4.5-point underdogs today. In non-conference games, Denver is 11-3 compared to 17-10 against Western Conference opponents.

On the road, the Nuggets are 11-9 straight-up and 7-13 against the spread. Their average scoring differential on the road is +0.2 points per game.

Denver has won two straight games and is 28-13 on the season. In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Pacers by a score of 117-109. They were favored by 10.5 points going into that game.

In terms of their ATS record, the Nuggets are 18-22 overall and 7-13 on the road. As underdogs, their ATS record is 1-2, and they have failed to cover in three straight road games.

This season, the Nuggets have a record of 16-24-1 on the over/under. Today’s line of 227 is right around their season average of 227.1 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 13th in the league with 116.2 points per game. However, their scoring has been much better at home, where they are 9th in the league at 120.6 points per game. On the road, they are 21st in the league with 111.6 points per game.

Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the league, as they are 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 27th in three-point attempts and 22nd in three-point makes at 11.9 per game.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 53.7% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league with 96.8 possessions per game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 111.0 points per game. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.6% and 36.1% from three-point territory.

Will the 76ers Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

Philadelphia has won two straight games as the favorite and are favored by 4.5 points today. As the favorite, the 76ers have a record of 23-6 and have gone 22-7 against the spread as the favorite. On average, they have won these games by a margin of 11.8 points per game.

In their last game, the 76ers defeated the Rockets by a score of 124-115. The O/U line for that game was 228.5, and the teams combined for 239 points. Philadelphia covered the spread, winning by 9 points as 8-point favorites.

This season, the 76ers have an O/U record of 22-16, and their games have averaged a combined 231.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 227, which is lower than their season average of 230.2.

In the Eastern Conference, the 76ers are currently in 3rd place with a record of 25-13. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 17-10 and 5-3 against division opponents. At home, their ATS record is 15-6.

So far this season, the 76ers have been a top-10 scoring team in the NBA, averaging 119.8 points per game. At home, they have actually been slightly better, averaging 120.2 points per game.

Philadelphia has been one of the most aggressive teams in the league when it comes to getting to the free-throw line. They lead the NBA in both free throws made and attempted per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the 76ers have been below average, hitting just 37% of their attempts. Overall, they are 13th in field goal percentage.

For the season, Philadelphia is sitting 8th in terms of points allowed per game (111.6). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the 76ers are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 3rd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.2 per game.