Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
ESPN+ will be covering this week nine matchup between the Toledo Rockets and Bowling Green Falcons, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from the Glass Bowl in Toledo. The Rockets are the -3.5 point spread favorites and -144 on the money line, while the over/under line is at 47.5 points. Toledo comes in with a 5-2 record, while Bowling Green has gone 3-4 so far this season.
BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS TOLEDO ROCKETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons +3.5
This game will be played at Glass Bowl at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE BOWLING GREEN FALCONS:
- We have the Bowling Green Falcons winning this one by a score of 30 to 23
- Not only do we have the Bowling Green Falcons winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points
Will The Bowling Green Falcons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Bowling Green enters Week 9 with a 3-4 record, ranked 91st in our power rankings. They have a 67% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Falcons are 1-2 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.
They’ve been favored in four games, going 2-2 as the favorite, and their average scoring margin is +3.7 points per game. Against the spread, Bowling Green is 2-4, with a 2-1 record on the road and 0-3 at home.
Their over/under record is 2-4, with an average line of 50.4 points. This week’s total is set at 47.5 points, and their games have averaged 46.6 points per contest.
Heading into week 9, Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 25.1 points per game, placing them 68th nationally. They are ranked 73rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 29th in completions, with 20.7 per game, and 46th in attempts, averaging 30.9. They are 58th in passing yards, with 236.6 yards per game, and have converted 39.6% of their third-down attempts.
Quarterback Connor Bazelak has completed 69.6% of his passes, throwing for 1,644 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. His passer rating is 98. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 463 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored 4 touchdowns. Malcolm Johnson Jr. is the top receiver with 294 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 catches.
Bowling Green’s defense comes into this week ranked 36th nationally, allowing 21.4 points per game. They’ve been strong against the pass, giving up just 161.7 yards per game, the 16th-lowest in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 55.2% of their passes against Bowling Green, with a passer rating of 83.
In their recent game against Kent State, Bowling Green’s defense allowed just 6 points and 11 first downs. They gave up 127 rushing yards on 24 attempts and only 78 passing yards, forcing three interceptions.
Are The Toledo Rockets Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Toledo enters Week 9 against Bowling Green with a 5-2 record and a 2-0 mark at home. They have a 99.9% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 35.4% chance of winning the Mid-American, according to projections. The Rockets are ranked 77th in our power rankings.
Toledo’s average scoring margin this season is +10.7, and they are 3-3 against the spread. As the favorite, they are 1-3 ATS, but they’ve gone 2-0 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points. Toledo’s games have averaged 48.4 points, with an average over/under line of 50.1 points. Their over/under record for the season is 4-2.
Toledo’s offense is averaging 29.6 points per game heading into week 9, placing them 47th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 81st. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, ranking 37th in attempts per game and 31st in completions, with an average of 254.4 yards per game. They are 32nd in passer rating.
Tucker Gleason leads the team with 1,325 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 101. He has completed 61.6% of his passes. Jerjuan Newton has caught 34 passes for 581 yards and eight touchdowns. Toledo is averaging 116.1 rushing yards per game.
Toledo’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 23rd nationally by allowing just 18.9 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up only 6 points but allowed 391 total yards, including 181 rushing yards and 210 passing yards.
On average, opposing quarterbacks have a 79.6 passer rating against Toledo, completing 59.3% of their throws for 230.6 yards per game. The Rockets’ defense is also giving up 123.3 rushing yards per game on 35.7 attempts.