Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24
The Orioles are the favorite on the money line today, as they are at -147 compared to the Blue Jays at +125. This AL East matchup has a first pitch of 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. MASN is carrying this one on TV.
Baltimore comes in with a record of 67-46, while the Blue Jays are 51-61. Toronto will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Grayson Rodriguez is starting for the Orioles, while the Blue Jays are going with Chris Bassitt.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -147
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, closing out their series with a 9-5 win. After allowing one run to the Guardians in the bottom of the first, the Orioles responded with a run of their own and added two more in the 3rd. Baltimore went on to score another three runs in the 4th inning.
Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Baltimore is on the road today to take on the Blue Jays, and they lead the AL East with a record of 67-46, which matches the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles are on a two-game winning streak, and they went 2-2 in their series vs. the Guardians.
So far, the Orioles have been really good vs. other teams in the AL East, going 23-10, and they have an overall series record of 22-10-3. At home, they are 34-25 and 33-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 55-36 this year and 12-10 as the underdog. Baltimore has won two straight games as the road favorite.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, as they are 32-22 on the run line away from home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 15-7 vs. the run line as an underdog. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.8 runs per game.
When the Orioles are on the road, the over has been hitting at a 63-40 clip this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Blue Jays is 8.5 runs, and the combined run average for these teams is 9.4 runs per game. The over has hit in 19 of the 33 games this season when the line has been set at 8.5 runs.
So far this season, Grayson Rodriguez has made 20 starts and has a record of 13-4. His ERA for the season is 3.86, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Rodriguez’s most recent outing came on July 31st vs. the Blue Jays, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs on six hits. Looking back at his last three outings, Rodriguez has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. Opponents are batting .237 vs. Rodriguez this season, and his ERA on the road is 4.88 compared to 3.45 at home.
Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they are also 3rd in the league in runs per game at 5.1. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .256, which is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander leading the team with 32 homers and Henderson right behind him at 29. Santander has gone 11/38 over his last 10 games, including three homers, while Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/40 with two homers in that span.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Yankees scored one run in the bottom of the 8th to pick up the win. Toronto was the +236 underdog going into this road game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Yankees but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Ernie Clement had a big game, going 3/5 with two doubles, a run scored, and two RBIs. The Blue Jays started Yariel Rodriguez, and he didn’t give up a run in his start, but the Blue Jays still took the loss.
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 15.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 51-61 and have gone just 15-23 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays lost the first two games of their series with the Yankees before taking the final game.
At home, the Blue Jays are 26-28 this season and 25-33 on the road. As the underdog, Toronto is 18-37 this season and 33-24 when favored. Their overall series record is 12-18-5, and they have lost two straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better bet on the road this season, going 35-23 compared to 18-36 at home. Their average run differential is worse at home (-1.0) than on the road (-0.6), and they are 29-26 against the run line as an underdog. Toronto’s average run differential in wins is +3.1, while it drops to -4.0 in losses.
The Toronto Blue Jays are home against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Blue Jays games this season is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 61-48. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-19. Overall, 54.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles. In that July 30th start, he took the loss, going 4 innings and giving up 5 earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Bassitt has taken the loss in each outing. His record for the season is 8-10, and he has an ERA of 4.02. Out of his 22 starts, Bassitt has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 12 homers and is averaging 3.51 walks per nine innings.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 12th in the league, and are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .316 with a team-high 22 homers and 72 RBIs. He has been even better of late, going 19/36 in his last nine games with four homers.
Guerrero Jr. also has the team’s longest hitting streak at 17 games. Toronto will be looking for more production out of George Springer and Daulton Varsho, as Springer is batting just .226, and Varsho is hitting under .200 for the season.