New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Sunday, and he is facing off against Tanner Houck for the Red Sox. The money line odds have the Yankees at -108 compared to the Red Sox at -110, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.

First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 PM ET, and ESPN will be carrying the TV coverage for this AL East matchup. The Yankees are 61-45, while the Red Sox are 55-48, and they are currently 3rd in the division.

BOSTON RED SOX VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -110

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Sunday, July 28th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was all New York in the last game of this series, as the Yankees took down the Red Sox by a score of 11-8. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -101 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Marcus Stroman for the Yankees and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Stroman only went 3 1/3 innings but gave up just three hits and zero earned runs. On the other side, Crawford was tagged for five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees. Judge, Tyler O’Neill, and Wilyer Abreu all had three hits and two RBIs. O’Neill’s two homers and four RBIs were wasted in the losing effort.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Red Sox, and they are 61-45 overall, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 19-22 in divisional games. New York has dropped three of their last four games heading into today’s matchup.

At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this year, and they have gone 34-22 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 85 of their games, going 46-39 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, they are 15-6 this year. The Yankees’ overall series record is 18-10-4, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Red Sox.

When the Yankees are the underdog, they are a great bet on the run line, going 17-4. They are 38-47 on the run line when favored, and they have lost three straight games against the run line when they are the favorite.

When the Yankees and Red Sox meet tonight in Boston, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average in games involving the Yankees this season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 56-46. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit at a 7-3 clip. The over has hit in three straight games for the Yankees.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 10-7 and an ERA of 4.42. So far, he has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .236 this season. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is 1.24. In his last outing, Rodón picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has given up at least two earned runs in each of his last four outings. The left-hander has allowed a total of five homers in his last four starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. New York also has a league-leading team on-base percentage of .333 and have the 2nd best OPS in the league. The Yankees have been an elite home run hitting team this season and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the league.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the Yankees’ top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the team with a .314 batting average and Soto right behind him at .309. Judge also has a league-leading 95 RBIs and 37 homers, which is also the best mark in the MLB. Soto has been hot of late, going 15/39 in his last nine games with four homers.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston will take on the Yankees today with an overall record of 55-48, which has them 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 5.5 games behind the Orioles for the lead in the division. So far, they have gone 14-12 against other teams in the AL East.

The Red Sox have gone just 4-6 across their last 10 games, and they are 25-26 at home this year. On the road, they are 30-22. Boston has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 15-12-5 this year.

The Red Sox have been a poor bet on the run line at home, going 19-32. Their overall run line record is 48-55. They have a run line record of 29-23 on the road. They have an average run margin of -0.3 at home and 0.9 on the road. They have a run line record of 19-34 as the favorite and 29-21 as the underdog.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the New York Yankees today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 50-47. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 7-7. The over has hit in their last three games.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 2.71. So far, he has made 20 starts and 14 of them have been quality starts. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either outing. One of those starts was a complete game shutout. Opponents are batting .219 off Houck this season.

The Red Sox offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 8th in runs per game (4.8), and are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Overall, they are batting .258, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Boston has also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 24th best mark in the league.

Both Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging the bat well of late, with Duran hitting .345 over his last six games with two homers, and O’Neill has gone deep four times in his last five games while batting .429. Duran also has a 10-game hitting streak coming into the game.