Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24
BSMW will be televising today’s Cubs vs. Cardinals NL Central matchup, with the game starting at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO. The Cardinals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -133, while the Cubs are +112 underdogs. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Chicago comes in with a record of 46-51 and will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, while the Cardinals are 50-45 overall and are 2nd in the NL Central. Miles Mikolas is starting for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Jameson Taillon for the Cubs.
CHICAGO CUBS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +112
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Sunday, July 14th.
HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cubs winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
St. Louis picked up a 5-4 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a two-run lead heading into the 8th inning, and the Cubs could only muster one run in the 8th. As for the starting pitching matchup, Kyle Gibson went just four innings for the Cardinals but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Javier Assad struggled on the mound for the Cubs, giving up three runs in 2 1/3 innings of work.
Masyn Winn and Willson Contreras each homered for the Cardinals, while Miguel Amaya hit a home run for the Cubs. Nolan Arenado scored twice and drove in two runs for St. Louis.
JoJo Romero got the win out of the bullpen for the Cardinals, while Ryan Helsley got the save. Porter Hodge took the loss for Chicago out of the bullpen.
Cubs Records & Stats
Chicago is 46-51 overall and trail the Brewers by 8.5 games in the NL Central. The Cubs have lost two straight games, and they are 5th in the division. So far, they are just 11-21 against other NL Central teams.
At home, the Cubs are 25-21 this year, and they are 21-30 on the road. As the road underdog, the Cubs are 15-24 this year, and they are 22-22 as the favorite. Chicago’s overall series record is 11-16-2, and they have won two straight series.
Chicago is 48-49 against the run line this season, and they have been a good bet on the run line on the road, where they are 30-21. As the underdog, they are 35-18 against the run line. Their average run margin this season is -0.1 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of -0.6 runs per game on the road.
The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for the Cubs this season. Chicago’s over/under record for the season is 42-51, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 11-11. The Cubs have played in 27 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 27.8% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.
Chicago is sending Jameson Taillon to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 2.99. So far this year, he has made 15 starts, and opponents are batting .241 off the right-hander. Taillon has turned in nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.42 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Taillon gave up two earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Orioles. He got the win in that start. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This includes a home average of 4.3 runs per game and 4.1 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting just .235, and their 94 home runs are 18th in the league. Chicago’s offense has been led by Ian Happ, who is 12th in the league with 56 RBIs and has gone deep 14 times this season.
Christopher Morel comes into the game as the Cubs’ home run leader, but he is batting just .199 for the season and has gone just 5/25 in his last six games. Seiya Suzuki has gone 10/27 in his last six games and has driven in eight runs during that stretch. Nico Hoerner is on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .257 for the season.
Cardinals Records & Stats
The Cardinals are 50-45 overall and trail the Brewers by 3.5 games in the NL Central. St. Louis has won two straight games, and they are 15-13 against other teams in the division. So far, they have been good on the road, going 24-24 and 26-21 at home.
St. Louis has an overall series record of 15-12-2 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 27-22 this year and 23-23 as the underdog. Their overall record is 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line with the Cardinals, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 29-17 against the run line in that role. They have been slightly better at covering the run line at home, going 25-22 compared to 22-26 on the road. The average run differential in their games is -0.3, but when they win, they have won by an average of 2.5 runs.
St. Louis has been trending towards the over lately, with their last two games going over the total. Their over/under record on the season is 45-47, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. In games where the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit at a 20-11 clip.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Cubs at home. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 7-7 with a 4.88 ERA. Mikolas is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow an earned run, going 6 1/3 innings vs. the Nationals. In that outing, he gave up six hits and didn’t issue a walk. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.21 and has issued just 1.51 walks per nine innings.
St. Louis comes into the game with the 10th best batting average in the league at .245, but they are just 19th in home runs and are averaging only 4.2 runs per game. Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson are both having solid seasons at the plate, with Burleson leading the team with 52 RBIs and 16 homers, which is 12th best in the MLB. Donovan is batting .270 and has gone deep 8 times.
Over his last five games, Alec Burleson has gone 6/19 with two homers and seven RBIs. The Cardinals will also be looking for big things out of Nolan Gorman, who leads the team with 47 RBIs but is batting just .209.