Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24
The over/under line for Thursday’s Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup is at 9 runs, and the Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -149. The money line odds for a Dodgers win are at +126, and they are 1.5-run underdogs on the run line.
First pitch from Citizen Bank Park is set for 6:05 PM ET, and SNLA will be televising this NL matchup. Landon Knack is starting for the Dodgers, and the Phillies are going with Aaron Nola. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East, while the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -149
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:05 ET on Thursday, July 11th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Dodgers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Phillies vs Dodgers series. Philadelphia went into the matchup as -135 favorites and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Phillies had a huge 5th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored one run in the 4th inning and added their final two runs in the 5th.
Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Cristopher Sanchez put together a good outing for the Phillies, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Shohei Ohtani hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Kyle Schwarber had a two-run homer for the Phillies, going 1/4.
Dodgers Records & Stats
As the Dodgers are on the road today vs. the Phillies, they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first two games of this series. Los Angeles leads the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres and are 55-38 overall. In the NL West, they have gone 18-15 this season.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 28-19 this season, and they have been a similar team on the road, coming in with a record of 27-19. So far, they are just 2-6 as the underdog, and they are 53-32 when favored. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 18-12-1.
The Dodgers have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 46-47 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 25-21 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +1.2 runs per game, compared to +0.8 runs per game at home. The Dodgers have been favored in most of their games this season, going 43-42 against the run line as the favorite.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is right around the Dodgers’ season average of 8.9 runs per game. So far this season, the Dodgers have played 93 games, and their over/under record is 49-44. In the 11 games where the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Dodgers have gone over the total 6 times.
Right-hander Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 2.86. Knack’s WHIP for the season is currently .98, and opponents are batting .192 this year. In his last outing, Knack took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight starts without giving up an earned run. Knack has made one quality start this year.
Shohei Ohtani has been a huge part of the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .317 with 28 home runs and 66 RBIs, which is good for 5th in the league. He has also been on a nice stretch of games, coming into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power bat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .257. Hernandez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/40 in his last 10 games.
Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the league’s best offenses this season, as they are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have also been one of the best teams at getting on base, leading the league in OBP and are 2nd in OPS. As a team, the Dodgers are also near the top of the league in both slugging percentage and isolated power.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 60-32, the Phillies lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers, and their record in the division is 15-10 this year. At home, the Phillies have gone 35-14 compared to a 25-18 mark on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good in night games this season, going 40-16. As the favorite, the Phillies are 52-24 this year and 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 18-8-5 this year.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 48-44 overall. They have been a slightly better bet at home (25-24) than on the road (23-20). Their average run margin is +1.3 runs per game, and they are 40-36 against the run line as the favorite. They have been outscored by an average of 3.3 runs per game in their losses.
With a combined run average of 8.6, the Phillies have an over/under record of 41-46 on the season. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 2-6-1. This season, only 13% of their games have had a line set at 9 runs, with 77.2% of their games having a lower line.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers at home. Nola has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 10-4 with a 3.48 ERA. So far, he has turned in one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Nola picked up the win vs. the Braves, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the MLB. The Phillies are also one of the league’s best teams at getting on base, with a team OBP of .330.
Over his last nine games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, going 17/38 with five homers and 16 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber and Rafael Marchán both come into the game on hitting streaks, with Schwarber’s streak sitting at five games and Marchán’s at four. Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 18 homers and is batting .250 for the season.