Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 6/26/24
The Blue Jays and Red Sox face off in an AL East matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. Toronto is 5th in the AL East with a record of 36-43, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the division at 43-37.
Boston is the money line favorite for tonight’s game, with the odds sitting at -154 compared to the Blue Jays at +130. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and NESN will be televising this one.
BOSTON RED SOX VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -154
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, June 26th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Toronto cruised to a 9-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were the slight underdogs at +110.
Kevin Gausman got the win for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Brayan Bello only went 2 1/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up seven earned runs on five hits.
George Springer and Kevin Kiermaier each had three hits and two RBIs for the Blue Jays’ offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had a two-hit game and drove in four runs.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 36-43 overall and 15 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they are 10-14 against other AL East teams. The Blue Jays will be looking to pick up a win today, having gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 this year while going 18-24 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 29-20 and 7-23 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 9-12-4, and they have lost two straight series.
Despite a losing record overall, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 24-18. They’ve covered the run line in three straight road games and are 14-16 as an underdog, compared to 23-26 as the favorite. Toronto’s average run differential in wins is +3.2, compared to -3.7 in losses.
The Blue Jays are on the road against the Red Sox today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-41. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 1-1. In 77 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at less than 9.5 runs, and they have gone over in their last three games.
Yariel Rodríguez is getting the start for the Blue Jays today on the road against the Red Sox. He has made 4 starts this season, and in his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Guardians, going just 1 1/3 innings and allowing 5 runs. He has yet to record a win this season, but has 14 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings of work.
Coming into today’s game, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .233. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 10/31 in his last seven games with three homers.
Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with 10 homers and 40 RBIs. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both players are batting below .230 for the season.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 43-37 overall and is 8.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 11-10 against other AL East teams this year. The Red Sox have picked up four straight series wins, and their overall series record is 12-9-4 this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 19-21 this year and 24-16 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox have gone 8-2 across their last 10 games.
The Red Sox are a team that has been very inconsistent against the run line this season, with a record of 37-43. They have been better on the road, going 23-17, compared to just 14-26 at home. As the favorite, they have been a poor bet, going just 12-26, while they are 25-17 as the underdog. In their wins, they are outscoring their opponents by an average of 4.3 runs per game, while in their losses, they are being outscored by an average of 3.8 runs per game.
The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Toronto Blue Jays today, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 8.8, and their over/under record is 37-38. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 4-6. Boston has had just three games this season with over/under lines set higher than 9.5 runs, accounting for only 3.8% of their games. Their over/under record during their current over streak is 3-0.
Kutter Crawford is hoping to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Red Sox today. In that June 21st outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Crawford has given up at least two homers in three of them. His record for the season is 3-7, and he has an ERA of 3.59. Opposing batters are hitting .222 off Crawford this season. So far, he has made eight quality starts and is averaging 9.23 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Boston is 8th in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP at .32. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 7th best mark in the league.
Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging the bat well of late, with Duran going 14/38 in his last eight games and O’Neill batting .321 with four homers in this stretch. O’Neill also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, O’Neill and Rafael Devers are tied for the team lead with 16 homers, with Devers also leading the club with 42 RBIs. Devers is also on a four-game hitting streak.