New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 6/21/24
First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Mets and Cubs is set for 2:20 PM ET from Wrigley Field in Chicago. The money line odds have the Cubs as the favorite, with their odds sitting at -149 compared to the Mets at +125. Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, and he is facing off against Shota Imanaga. Chicago comes in with a record of 36-39, while the Mets are 35-38, and they are 4th in the NL East.
Chicago will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, while the Mets will be looking to pick up a win after losing four of their last five. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and MARQ will be televising Friday’s game.
NEW YORK METS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +125
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Friday, June 21st.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS CUBS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Rangers scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. New York was the -113 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Sean Manaea had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on two homers and issuing three walks. The Mets also wasted a big game from Pete Alonso, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.
The Mets are 35-38 overall and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games in the NL East. New York is 11-10 in division games this season. The Mets are on the road today, taking on the Cubs and are coming in having won two straight games. This came after dropping four in a row.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this season and have gone 17-15 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 15-20 this season and 11-10 as the road underdog. New York has won three straight games as the underdog overall, and they have won four straight series.
When the Mets are the underdog, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 20-15. Their overall run line record is 33-40, and they have a run line win streak of three games when they are the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1.
The Mets are on the road today against the Cubs, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. New York’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 37-34. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-4. So far this season, 42.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Cubs. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 4.98 ERA. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Quintana’s ERA at home is 3.82, compared to 8.27 on the road. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on two hits. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. New York’s home run total of 83 is 9th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s best hitting teams, with a team batting average of .246.
Over his last 10 games, J.D. Martinez has gone 11/35 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has also been hot of late, batting .351 over his last nine games. This stretch has included two homers and nine RBIs. Nimmo also has the team’s longest active hitting streak at six games.
Cubs Records & Stats
The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing one run to the Giants in the top of the first, the Cubs responded with three runs of their own. Chicago went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Kyle Hendricks put together a good start for the Cubs, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out eight. However, the Cubs needed to use four relievers to close things out, as the Giants scored four runs in the top of the 8th to tie things up. Colten Brewer picked up the save, and the Cubs were the -111 favorite at home going into the game.
With an overall record of 36-39, the Cubs are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by eight games. The Cubs have gone just 9-17 in divisional matchups this year. They will take on the Mets at home today, having won two straight games. Chicago took the final two games of their series vs. the Giants.
At home, the Cubs are 21-16 compared to 15-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 19-17 this year and 17-22 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 9-13-2 this year, and they are currently favored to win today’s game vs. the Mets.
When it comes to the run line, the Cubs have been a better bet on the road this season, going 22-16 compared to 14-23 at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 26-13, compared to 10-26 as the favorite. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, but in their wins, it’s +2.9 runs per game, while in their losses, it’s -3.0 runs per game.
The Chicago Cubs are playing at home against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Cubs have an over/under record of 32-40 on the season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.6. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cubs have gone 2-9 on the season. Overall, 49.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Through 13 starts, Shota Imanaga has a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 1.90. Looking at his overall numbers, Imanaga has made eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that start vs. the Cardinals, he gave up just four hits and didn’t issue a walk. Imanaga has been particularly tough at home, coming in with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 1.28. On the road, his ERA is 3.11. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.24 strikeouts and just 1.3 walks.
Over the past 10 games, Cody Bellinger has gone 12/40 (.300) with one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .263 with nine homers and 33 RBIs. Ian Happ has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 in his last nine games, including three homers and 11 RBIs. Happ has gone deep nine times this season, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league.
Christopher Morel has been the Cubs’ top power threat this season, as he has 13 homers, but is batting just .197. Michael Busch and Happ are also tied for 2nd on the team with nine homers. Busch comes into the game with an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .266 for the season.