St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24
The Cardinals and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Friday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and features a Cardinals club that is 15-22 compared to the Brewers at 22-15. Robert Gasser is starting for the Brewers, while the Cardinals are going with Lance Lynn.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Brewers are the favorite at -138. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by MLBN.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -138
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, May 10th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 7 to 6
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Brewers picked up a 7-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Cardinals got on the board with one run in the 3rd and didn’t score another run until putting up one in the 5th.
Tobias Myers only went four innings for the Brewers but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Sonny Gray struggled on the mound for the Cardinals, giving up six runs in five innings of work. He took the loss.
Christian Yelich and William Contreras each had three hits and two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense. Rhys Hoskins and Jake Bauers each homered. Lars Nootbaar hit the only home run for the Cardinals, going 1/5.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is on a five-game losing streak, and they are 15-22 overall this season. The Cardinals trail the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central and are 0-4 in divisional games this year. So far, they are just 6-11 at home compared to 9-11 on the road.
So far, the Cardinals have really struggled in day games, going 5-14 this season. St. Louis has dropped three straight games on the road, and they are 6-8 as road underdogs this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 5-7 and have dropped three straight series.
When the Cardinals are favored, they are just 7-13 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 11-6. Their run line record is 18-19 overall, and their average run differential is -1.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 10 of their 20 road games this season, and their average run differential is -0.8 runs per game away from home.
The St. Louis Cardinals have been involved in games with an average of 8.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 14-22, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 1-4-1. Overall, 51.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 3.28. Lynn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Lynn has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .243 off Lynn this season, and he has allowed a total of five home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.04 walks compared to 8.33 strikeouts.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.4 runs per game. This is also their average both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .217, which is 22nd in the league, and their on-base percentage of .296 is also near the bottom of the league. One of the few bright spots for the Cardinals offense is that they have the 11th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Nolan Arenado has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/18 in his last five games with a homer and four RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Arenado’s 20 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is 2nd on the team with a batting average of .286. Willson Contreras has also been a good run producer this season, as he is 7th in the league with six homers and is batting .280.
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers are 22-15 overall and lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. So far, they have gone 9-5 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee has won three straight games at home, and they are 5-3 as the home favorite this year.
So far, the Brewers have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 14-8. At home, they are just above .500 at 8-7. As for how they have fared as the underdog, the Brewers are 13-9 and 9-6 as the favorite. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-4-2, and they have lost two straight series.
The Brewers are 19-18 against the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 14-8. They are just 5-10 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home, but as the favorite, they are just 4-11 against the run line.
The Milwaukee Brewers have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 22-15, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. However, in games where the line has been set at 8 runs, the under has hit in all three games. The Brewers have hit the over in three straight games, and their games have had an over/under line of 8 runs in 62.2% of their games this season.
Robert Gasser takes the mound for the Brewers in today’s game versus the Cardinals. It’s his opportunity to start the season on the right foot, as this will be his first outing of the year.
William Contreras comes into the game as the Brewers’ top hitter, with a batting average of .340, and he is also 1st on the team in RBIs (30). Over his last six games, he has gone 8/24. Rhys Hoskins has struggled a bit of late, going just 3/18 in his last five games, but he does have a team-high eight homers. Willy Adames has also been a solid power threat for the Brewers, as he is 2nd on the team with seven homers.
As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at five runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, Milwaukee is 4th in home runs and has the league’s 5th best team batting average.