Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Betting Pick & Prediction 4/6/24
The Maple Leafs and Canadiens are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Canadiens will host the game at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorites in this Atlantic division matchup against the Canadiens. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS MONTREAL CANADIENS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Montreal Canadiens +1.5
This game will be played at Bell Centre at 7:00 ET on Saturday, April 6th.
WHY BET THE MONTREAL CANADIENS:
- With a 1.5 goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Maple Leafs to secure a 4-3 victory.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the puck line, we like Canadiens (+1.5)
Will the Toronto Defense Show Up on the Road?
With a record of 43-23-9, the Maple Leafs are currently in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd place in the Atlantic Division. On the road this season, Toronto has gone 22-9-6.
Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-5 and are 3-2 in their last five. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 36-17-7 this season.
On the season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 30-45, and their average scoring margin sits at +.5 goals per game. So far, Toronto has played in 60 games where they were favored, and their puck line record in those games is 19-41.
Heading into the game, the Maple Leafs have won three straight games on the road by more than one goal, and their road puck line record for the year is 16-21. In their last 10 games, Toronto’s puck line record is 7-3.
For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Toronto is 6.8. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 40-33-2.
The Maple Leafs are 3-0 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. So far this year, the Maple Leafs are 22-12 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 19-9 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Toronto’s current leading scorer is Auston Matthews. This season, he has 63 goals, which puts him 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 36 assists this season.
Defensively, the Canadiens are currently 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.5 shots per game against Montreal. They also are 25th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.
Goalie Ilya Samsonov gets the start and has made 36 starts this season. His record at this point is 21-6, and his save percentage is 0.688%.
Can the Canadiens Lock in a Home Win?
At home this season, the Canadiens have gone 15-19-4, and in the Eastern Conference, they are in 15th place with 70 points. In the Atlantic Division, Montreal is in 8th place with a record of 5-17.
Over their last ten games, the Canadiens are just 4-6, and they have lost two of their last three games. For the year, Montreal is 29-34-12, and as the underdog, they have gone 24-33-12.
Montreal enters the game with a puck line record of 48-27, including a mark of 24-14 at home. Overall, the Canadiens have 12 wins by multiple goals and 17 by just one goal.
Over their last ten home games, Montreal has gone 8-2 against the puck line and is 46-23 as the underdog this season. The Canadiens have gone just 2-4 against the puck line in games they were favored.
This season, Montreal’s games have an average of 6.2 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.3. The Canadiens come in with an over/under performance of 37-36-2.
Across their last three road contests, Toronto has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 3 goals per game.
Offensively, the Canadiens come into the game at 2.7 goals per contest placing 27th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 28th position in the league. Montreal’s offense is currently ranked 22nd in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 17th in the league.
Montreal’s current leading scorer is Nick Suzuki. This season, he has 32 goals, which puts him 24th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 40 assists so far.
Montreal defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.5 shots per game against Montreal. They also are 25th in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Sam Montembeault has started 36 games in this season. His current record is 15-14, and his save percentage stands at 0.759%.