Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24
At 8:00 ET, the 7th-seeded Heat (-139) will travel to Houston to take on the 11th-seeded Rockets (+116). Miami is currently favored by 2.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 214.5.
Spac will carry the broadcast for this non-conference matchup. The Heat are 42-34 and in 2nd place in the Southeast Division, while the Rockets are 38-38 and in 3rd place in the Southwest Division. Houston has lost 3 games in a row.
MIAMI HEAT VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -2.5
This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, April 5th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-110 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and knocking down 13 threes.
Can the Heat Pull Off a Win at Houston?
Miami has a record of 42-34 this season, which puts them in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are 2nd.
On the road, the Heat have a record of 22-16, and they have won their last two games away from home. Today, they are favored by 2.5 points.
In terms of their ATS record, Miami is 36-37 for the season, and they have covered the spread in their last two road games. As the favorite, they are 20-21 ATS on the road and 31-13 straight-up.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 30-46, and the over has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 218.2 points, and today’s O/U line is 214.5.
In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the 76ers by a score of 109-105. They were favored by 3 points going into the game, and their ATS record for the season is 36-37.
The Miami Heat are currently 27th in the league in scoring at 109.8 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.4 points per game.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 36.8% of their games. They are 29th in pace at 95.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 18th in the league at 37%. Overall, they are 24th in field goal percentage at 46%.
This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.4 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.3% while allowing 35.9% from downtown.
Can the Rockets Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?
The Rockets have gone 37-39 on the over/under this season, and the over has hit in each of their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 226.8 points, compared to today’s O/U line of 214.5.
For the season, Houston is 43-32 against the spread, and they have failed to cover in their last two home games. As the underdog, they are 24-23 ATS, and they are 15-33 straight-up as the underdog.
Houston’s O/U record vs. non-conference opponents is 34-37, and their last game vs. the Warriors went over the line of 227.5. The Rockets lost that game by a score of 133-110.
In the Western Conference standings, the Rockets are currently in 11th place with a record of 38-38. In the Southwest Division, they are in 3rd place with a record of 9-6.
At home this season, the Rockets are averaging 116.3 points per game, which is 13th in the league. Overall, they are 16th in scoring at 114 points per game. In terms of shooting, they are 26th in field goal percentage at 45%. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 35% of their shots, which is 23rd in the NBA.
So far this season, the Rockets have outscored the NBA average in 42.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 14th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point field goals, they are 24th in shooting percentage at 52%.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets are 6th in the league in attempts at 23.4 per game. They are also 6th in offensive rebounds at 11.5 per game. In terms of assists, they are 27th in the NBA at 24.6 per game.
Currently, the Rockets’ defense holds the 11th rank in the NBA, allowing 112.8 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Rockets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.2% and allowing 34.7% from beyond the arc.