Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings Betting Pick & Prediction 1/31/24

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Senators and Red Wings. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 7 goals and the Red Wings are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Senators.

OTTAWA SENATORS VS DETROIT RED WINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Red Wings -1.5

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.

WHY BET THE DETROIT RED WINGS:

With the Red Wings being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Red Wings.
Take the Red Wings on the moneyline
On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)

Will Ottawa Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Heading into tonight’s game, the Senators are 16th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 19-25-2. In their division, they sit in 8th place. On the road, Ottawa has gone 6-13-0 this season, including a two-game winning streak.

Over their last ten games, the Senators have gone 5-5, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five contests. When playing against teams from the Eastern Conference, Ottawa has gone 14-14 this season.

On the season, Ottawa has been the underdog in 25 of their games and has gone 12-13 against the puck line as the underdog. Overall, they have 20 wins by multiple goals and have dropped 20 games by more than one goal.

When looking at their puck line record on the road, the Senators have gone just 8-11 this season and their average scoring margin on the road is -.5 goals per game. In their last ten road games, Ottawa has gone just 3-7 against the puck line.

This season, Ottawa’s games have an average of 7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.6. The Senators come in with an over/under performance of 26-17-3.

Ottawa has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Senators are averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, putting them in the 14th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 14th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Senators offense is 22nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 20th in the NHL.

The leading scorer for Ottawa’s offense is Brady Tkachuk. Coming into the game he has 21 goals, ranking 25th in the NHL. Tkachuk also comes into the game with 19 assists.

Detroit defense takes on the Senators ranked 7th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.2 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 12th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.

Goalie Joonas Korpisalo gets the start and has made 28 starts this season. His record at this point is 11-16, and his save percentage is 0.869%.

Are the Red Wings Ready for a Home Win?

At home this season, the Red Wings have a record of 14-8-4 and have won two straight games. In the Eastern Conference, Detroit is in 7th place and 5th in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, the Red Wings have gone 26-18-5.

When favored, Detroit has a record of 11-2-3 and have won six straight games when favored. Over their last ten games, the Red Wings have gone 7-3. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Detroit has a record of 16-14.

As the favorite, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 6-10 this season. Overall, Detroit has gone 30-19 against the puck line, including a mark of 15-11 at home. So far, the team’s average scoring margin is at +.3 goals per game.

Coming into the game, the Red Wings have won four straight games against the puck line and have gone 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten games. At home, Detroit has a puck line record of 15-11 this season.

On average, Detroit’s games have finished with 6.8 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.4. In total, the Red Wings come in with an over/under record of 28-21-0.

For their offensive performance, the Red Wings come in averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, which is 5th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 24th in the league. So far this year, the Red Wings are 9-4 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 17-13 in games with fewer shots on goal.

The leading scorer for Detroit’s offense is Dylan Larkin. Coming into the game he has 22 goals, ranking 20th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Larkin has 24 assists this season.

Detroit defense takes on the Senators ranked 7th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.2 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 12th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Alex Lyon has started 20 games this season. His current record stands at 13-6, and his save percentage is 0.675%.