Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Ragin’ Cajuns and Red Wolves. The game is starting at 3:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Red Wolves at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. Get ready to place your bets! This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points, and the Red Wolves are favored to win at home vs. the Ragin’ Cajuns.

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -2.5

This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 3:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Red Wolves.
  • Not only will Arkansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Are the Ragin’ Cajuns Ready for a Road Win?

So far this season, Louisiana-Lafayette has been much better at home than on the road. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-1 at home compared to just 1-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.7, while it is -6.0 on the road.

For the season, Louisiana-Lafayette has gone 8-8, including a 1-3 mark in Sun Belt play. They have been the underdog in nine of their 16 games and have gone 2-7 in those contests.

As the underdog, Louisiana-Lafayette has gone 0-3 against the spread in their last three games and 5-5 in their last 10 as the underdog. On the road, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 games and 1-2 in their last three. Overall, Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-8 ATS this season and 3-5 vs. the spread on the road.

So far this year, the over/under record for Louisiana-Lafayette games is 7-7. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is slightly higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (151). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points.

In their previous game, the Ragin’ Cajuns’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.3 points per contest. Kobe Julien is leading the team in scoring at 17.5 points per contest. Joe Charles has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.9 going into the game.

The Ragin’ Cajuns’ defense is presently ranked 177th nationally, allowing an average of 72.1 points per contest. Louisiana-Lafayette’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Troy offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 79 points.

Can the Arkansas State Offense Score Enough at Home?

Arkansas State has been much better at home this season, going 5-1 compared to 2-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.2, and they have won their last four games at home.

Overall, the Red Wolves are 7-9, and they have won three straight games. In Sun Belt play, they are 3-1 compared to 4-8 in non-conference action.

As the favorite this season, Arkansas State is 4-3 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 4-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Wolves are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Arkansas State’s over/under record for the season sits at 7-9 and today’s line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (154.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 174 points and their over/under record in the last 10 games is 5-5.

Arkansas State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 85 points vs. Texas State. Overall, they hit 58.3% of their shots from the field and went 21/31 from the free-throw line. Leading Arkansas State in scoring vs. Texas State was Caleb Fields with his 35 points. Dyondre Dominguez also added 16 points for the Red Wolves.

Coming into today’s game, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 79.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Arkansas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.