 Saturday CFB Best Bet
College Overall (0-1) …………College Best Bet (0-0)
We had a great start to the new season, we lost our first play on Iowa St on Thursday…so this is a great start?….The past 4 seasons I have lost my first play and went on to have a very nice winning season overall in each of those 4 years….So if it is an omen, then we are off to a great start……
Missouri –5 over Illinois
Were going with the Tigers of Missouri over the fighting Illini of Illinois. It’s not really an official “home” game for either team, but the game is being played in St. Louis which obviously gives a home game flavor of fans. Missouri is currently favored by 5 points, my line on this game is closer to 13.0 favoring Missouri.
Coach Gary Pinkel’s best shot at national prominence, if it’s going to come, will come this year. He has the most talented group of players the Tigers have seen in over 30 years. Illinois has a very young team that still has a lot of question marks. It appears their best rushing threat will be their QB Juice Williams and facing an outstanding Missouri defensive line, the undersized and mediocre offensive line of the Illini will have problems in both pass protection and opening holes for the rushing game. Missouri has a very balanced offense and should be able to control the game. Illinois QB Williams was one of the country’s most inefficient passers last year and if he can’t improve on his efficiency quickly, the Missouri D-line could eat him alive and his scrambling won’t get it done either. The young Illini’s may gain enough experience as the season goes on to surprise a few teams toward the end of the season, but they will certainly struggle with this early part of the schedule, especially this week. They only posted 2 wins last year and one was against the lowly E. Illinois team. They were upset 5 times last year. They did cover the spread 5 times but in 4 of those games where they covered, they were a dog of over 20 points and a 17 point dog in the other.
The Illini gave up 17 points or more in everyone of their games last year, even the win over E. Illinois was 42-17. This was a team that returned 20 starters last year…10 on offense and 10 on defense and still could only muster 2 wins…
Missouri usually gets out of the box quickly….last year they won their first 6 games before they appeared to “choke” by losing 4 of their last 6. If you expect them to win SU, well here is a stat you should love. They are 33-3-2 ATS when they win the game SU when playing away from their home field.
Laying less than a TD with the team that should be far superior is just too much to pass up…
Diamond Line: Missouri -12.98 | 
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