 Just tryin to keep it going...
I'm 16-5 SU and 15-6 ATS in College Football.
I gotta check that stat again, but I would have more money if I wasn't such a penny pincher when it came to my picks. I play parlays alot and I don't protect myself with progressive parlays because they don't pay as well.
I took 2 parlays this pass weekend when I said I wouldn't do it anymore. I have more to work with, so I might limit myself to ONE parlay this week.
I'm looking to continue my well over .500 status...
Friday Night:
Northwestern vs Nevada (-7)
Normally I would pick a Big Ten team over a weaker WAC team, however with NW struggling on offense after an emotional victory in the season opener doesn't get my vote of confidence.
Nevada has played better quality teams in loses to Frenso St and AzSt, before beating Colo State, who beat Colo, who was beaten by a Div 2 team like Northwestern was.
I'm going with Nevada here as their offense has shown far more balance than the Wildcats and if NW can only run the football, they are going to get blown out. C'mon New Hampamshire put 34 points on them and NW only scored 14 points to beat Eastern Mich.
I also give the edge to Nevada in a high scoring game as they are 6-0 in O/U, as WAC teams are used to shootouts and you have to be equipped for them.
Didn't Ryan mention that favorites are now unbeaten (ATS and SU) in Thurs/Friday action this season??
Saturday:
The only thing you can't predict is turnovers and bad calls. I have 3 solid plays in the PAC 10 alone and Im putting some heavy (for me at least) money on them -
AzState@Cal (-1.5)
Anything less than 70 points in this game would be a disapointment. I have been suckered into games like this before and lost, but not this week. Cal has the 109th ranked pass defense and that gives AzState at least 30 points.
The line currently is 58 O/U. If your a risk taker, take Cal for the win, as the spread is 1.5 now and the edge SU would go to the home team and parlay them together. When I did that with the WestVA vs Maryland it worked, so.... (it worked on Pitt vs Mich St too)
Cal+Over
UCLA (-7)@Washington
This is simple, Washington has played 3 games in 3 weeks. UCLA has played 2 games in 3 weeks. This is the 4th game for Washington and the 3rd game for UCLA. Even if this is a divisional foe, I believe UCLA is the better team here and should finish the first 1/3 of the season undefeated. Washington almost lost to San Jose St, who beat Stanford SU at home. UCLA struggled with Rice, but not really. Olson was thrown off by a few different looks by Rice, but he's had all last week to review Washington's first 2 games and last weeks game.
No suprises here and he'll be ready. The D has played well and the running game while not specatular like last season, has none the less been very solid.
UCLA by 10
USC (-21)@Arizona
Last time I faded USC, they went on an 6-0 ATS tear and only lost in the National Championship game. Arizona has improved, but UCLA proved last year, that you can't come in here, throw your helmets down and win the game. USC will not make that mistake and play hard for the full 60 mins. The game will have never been in doubt and they should pull away in the 2nd half as they always do. Nobody is better at halftime adjustments right now than Pete Carrol.
USC by 30
Big Game -
ND (-4.5)@Michigan State
Nobody expected MSU to beat ND. I don't really see a change here. MSU is coming into this game as the dog at home and you know that always fires up a team. ND might be offended that the MSU flag was planted in the center of the field after MSU upset win, so what.
Now I could go the other way based on what happen with Ohio St vs Texas this year, but I said before, that if Troy Smith had played all game last year, Ohio State would have won, the only thing I questioned about them this year is the D after it gave up almost 200 yards on the ground to Garret Wolfe.
Anyway, ND got torched by a balance offense and gave up 40. I don't see them shutting down Drew Stanton and they didn't last year, so the wild card is the MSU defense. They'll allow some big plays, but I think the edge goes to the home team and John L can coach with anybody if his players buy into it like they did last season.
ND National Title Hopes took a major blow last week, its going to take a serious tumble again this week.
MSU+4.5
Penn St (16.5)@Ohio St
Not much to say here. Somebody threw out the stats that Penn St is 0-6 vs Ohio St and hasn't won in Happy Valley since 1978.
I don't see any reason why OSU won't win this with ease. They looked flat vs Cinn even though The Beacats were no threat to win that game. They'll be very sharp for this one and Penn State will go down in a heep.
The only way OSU makes it even close is to put the ball on the ground, but they'll pull away in the 2nd half as Penn St's D would have spent too much time on the field trying to keep the game in check.
Its not gunna even be close - Ohio St by 21
Wisconsin@Michigan (-14.5)
2 schools of thought:
1) Michigan comes out flat, plays sloppy only to win it by superior talent alone.
2) Michigan comes out, puts the smack down on The Badgers, builts a 20 point lead and maintains its until the final gun.
I choose... Number 2
Michigan by 27
Other games -
Ah, play against any of these teams:
Temple, Rice or Ill
Those team are a combined 0-9 ATS
I like a few more but I think that's enough for now... | 
.gif)
Linear Mode
