[ProInfoSports]

Saturday NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM

This week's FREE POWER SYSTEM is one of 50 featured in the 2006 NFL & NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM Workbook carried by the Gamblers Book Shop in Las Vegas and by Amazon. It's also included in Section 23 of the 2006 NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA, which examines how teams respond after playing various schools.

Here, we take a look at how teams have responded after losing to Navy. The Midshipmen have fielded a decent team in recent years, having gone to a bowl game in each of the last 3 seasons. Prior to 2003, they had only gone bowling twice in 20+ seasons. They have a triple-option offense that is difficult for opponents to prepare for since very few college teams still run it. Caught unprepared for the Middies, even a team with superior size and talent can get run over. After a loss of more than 10 points to Navy, teams have recovered and been much more competitive next time out as an underdog of more than a TD.

Underdogs of more than 7 points off a SU loss of 11+ points to Navy are 16-0 ATS, beating the spread by more than 12 points a game on average. This 5½ STAR POWER SYSTEM may actually be better than that, as it’s perfect through the 1980 season, which is as far back as our computer databases search. Each of the last 8 covers have been by double digits, including spread wins of 26, 33½, and 27½ points.

Even bad teams have a rare burst of solid play as big underdogs following a blowout loss to Navy. Rice was simply horrible last year, yet they covered by 11½ points against UTEP, while perennial ACC doormat, Duke, beat the spread by 13 points at Connecticut in 2004 for the most recent examples of how dogs of more than a TD have performed after losing to Navy by more than 10 points.

Last week, Stanford opened their new stadium with an embarrassing loss to Navy, falling 37-9. Back at home, the Cardinal is taking on Pac-10 foe Washington State on Saturday as a 10-point underdog, qualifying Stanford as the Play ON team for this PRO INFO SPORTS NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM.

[smyce]

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