Greetings to all,
Been out working double and odd shifts. Had my first losing week in a while last weekend looking to rebound this weekend. See what you think.
Texas -32 vs Rice
Texas has a pattern of absolutley creaming nonquality teams in which they are favored by 24 or more and I don't see any reason why this won't happen again here again at Austin.....especially against a pissed off Longhorn squad who lost to Ohio St. last week. Texas knows they need a big win in this situation and offensive coordinator Greg Davis has already told the press he is going to expand the playbook to allow McCoy to get more involved in the offense in this game. Rice gave up almost 300 yards rushing to UCLA last week. UT led 42-0 at the half last year and it wouldn't surpise me to see that same thing happen again this year especially with Young and Charles running rampant in the Rice secondary.
Marshall +10 vs Kansas St.
I really don't see any reason why Marshall doesn't keep this one close, if not even win this thing. I don't like the fact this is Ron Prince's first year at K St. in which they are very much still in the rebuilding process. K. State hasn't had any competition yet defeating lowly Florida Atlantic and Illinois St. who they only managed to beat by one point. Marshall's Bernard Morris has rushed for over 500 yards in their first two games and the Herd's veteran linbacking core should be plenty enough to keep K. St. running back Clayton from getting too many yards. Marshall's HC Snyder (former d.c. Ohio State) has this program headed in the right direction and giving up anything over 7 in this one is just to much in my opinion. This one is at Marshall.
BYU +7 vs Boston College
Yes BYU lost to Arizona in their opener, but the offense looks to have come to life their last two games and they look much more versitile with Brown doing the damage on the ground and Heisman candidate Beck (16 of 21 , 3 TDP last week) doing the damage through the air. BC QB Ryan still hampered with ankle injury and BC defense is not the same it has been the last few years. BC is coming off their double OT win against Clemson last week and should still be emotionally drained.
Michigan +6 vs Norte Dame
I'm still not totally sold on N.D. as last week's big Irish win was the first in its last 6 against the number since late last season. I feel Michigan offers even a more stout test than Georgia Tech did in week one and we have revenge on our side from last year's Mich loss which resulted in a disputed call that did not allow the game to go into overtime. In their last 21 meetings the favored side stands a woeful 3-18-1 against the number, which favors the Wolverines.
Vanderbilt +6 vs Arkansas
This is with out a doubt a team the linesmakers keep overlooking. Vandy's defense has held it's own against the big boys in Mich and Bama and I don't see any reason why they won't do the same here against a weaker Arkansas opponent. Vandy is the king of the dogs, covering 8 straight in that role and also 15 of 21 in that role as well. Vandy will feel some comfort finally playing in the confines of their own home stadium against a somewhat weaker foe in the Razorbacks.
Missouri -13.5 vs New Mexico
N.M.'s Cook and Baskett are now in the pros (Cook - Minn, Baskett - Philadelphia) and the N.M. program just isn't the same this year. With the loss of Dontrell Moore (leading rusher in Mountain West history) I just don't see much hope for the Lobos who have already lost to Div 1-AA Portland St. and barely beat the worst team in the nation (N.M. State) last week. On the other hand we have revenge minded, chemistry rich Missouri and Soph sensation QB Daniel licking their chops for this one. Not only did the Lobos barely beat lowly N.M. State last week but they gave up 472 yards passing.....just think what Daniel and company can do to this terrible Lobo secondary. N.M. has had NO covers last 7 at home. This one should get ugly early and stay that way. Missouri beat a better Miss squad last week by more than this spread.
Florida International +6 vs Bowling Green
Don Strock has this program headed in the right direction and the combo of QB Padrick and WR Williams should do enough damage to keep this one with the spread. B.G. barely beat lowly Buffalo last week by 8 points and with the Falcons content to keep the ball on the ground more lately without a quality QB we'll take the Panthers and defense plus the points.
UConn -5.5 vs Wake Forrest
I was surprised UConn played high octane Louiville to 10 and then absolutely crushed R.I. 52-7. On the other hand W.F. slipped by a terrible Duke team by one last week. UConn has now covered 6 straight games at Rentschler and stands 12-5-1 vs the spread its last 18 as a host. Meanwhile the Demon Deacons have dropped 12 of their last 17 spread decisions since late '04, and 7 of their last 8 vs the number against nonconference opposition. UConn has a great rushing attack and as long as this one stays under a TD I think our chances of a 7 point victory are at least 60% or higher.
Comments, complaints, etc always welcomed.
GREAT LUCK TO ALL TODAY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
LATER
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