[Raji]

send to a friend print version rss feeds AddThis Social Bookmark Button

Oklahoma State at Texas (-12.5)

Why Cowboys cover: Well prepared after playing two top 10 teams in their last two games. The Horns allow 275 passing yards per game, ninth-most in Division I, which is good news for OSU QB Zac Robinson.

Why Longhorns cover: Haven’t committed a turnover in the past two games (both against ranked teams) and have won 10 straight games against the Cowboys by a combined score of 407-218.

Total (69.5): The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings as well as in Texas’ past four games overall.

Alabama at Tennessee (+6)

Why Crimson Tide cover: Alabama has tremendous offensive balance and the SEC’s top rushing defense, while Tennessee offense can’t move the ball ranking 107th in the nation in total yards.

Why Volunteers cover: Barely beat UT last year and haven’t won consecutive games over the Vols since 1991-1992. Alabama hasn’t won in Knoxville since 2002. Mammoth Alabama defensive tackle Terrence Cody is out due to injury.

Total (41.5): The under is 12-2 in Tennessee’s last 14 contests.

Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5)

Why Nittany Lions cover: Ended a long winless skid vs. Michigan last week and are due against OSU, having not won in Columbus since 1978. The eighth best defense in the nation should cause problems for young OSU quarterback Terrelle Pryor.

Why Buckeyes cover: Should be motivated knowing they are an underdog at home to their conference rival. Penn State has lost 10 straight road games against ranked opponents. The Buckeyes have won 12 of their last 13 conference home games against ranked opponents.

Total (46): Over is 4-1 in PSU’s last five conference games and in OSU’s past five games vs. a team with a winning home record.

USC at Arizona (+16)

Why Trojans cover: Have been a different team since the loss to Oregon State, outscoring opponents 141-10 during a three-game win streak. The Trojans lead the nation in scoring defense at 7.8 points per game. USC has won six in a row against Arizona.

Why Wildcats cover: Nearly beat the Trojans last year and have won their four home games by an average of 36 points. The Cats have also won four of their last five at home against Top 25 opponents.

Total (54): The under is 8-1 in Trojans’ last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. The under also is 12-5-1 in Wildcats’ last 18 October games.

Oklahoma at Kansas State (+18.5)

Why Sooners cover: QB Sam Bradford, third in Division I in passing yards and second in TDs, faces a Wildcats defense that's ranked 93rd in pass defense. Oklahoma has won five of the past six meetings.

Why Wildcats cover: They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in October, while the Sooners have the exact opposite ATS record in their past six October games. Oklahoma’s top wideout, Manuel Johnson, is likely out with a dislocated elbow.

Total (70.5): Over is 6-1 in OU’s past seven games and 5-1 in KSU’s past six home games.

Texas Tech at Kansas (-1)

Why Red Raiders cover: Kansas is 0-2 vs. ranked teams this year. Tech QB and Heisman hopeful Graham Harrell will be facing the nation’s 99th ranked pass defense. KU defense allowed 674 total yards to Oklahoma last week.

Why Jayhawks cover: This will be the Red Raiders’ first game vs. a ranked opponent this year. KU is 5-0 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a winning record. The Red Raiders are 1-4 in their past five October games.

Total (67): The under is 5-0 in KU’s past five home games.

Kentucky at Florida (-25.5)

Why Wildcats cover: The Gators had a week off following a blowout of LSU and have a major rivalry game next week vs. Georgia. UK has the SEC’s best scoring defense.

Why Gators cover: UK’s top RB, Derrick Locke, is out with an injury and so is top WR Dicky Lyons Jr. UF has won 21 straight against Kentucky. The Wildcats are 3-24 vs. Florida all-time when the Gators are ranked. The Florida offense looked the best it had all season in the LSU victory.

Total (49): The under is 5-1 in Kentucky’s past six games and 4-1 in UF’s past five games after a bye.

Georgia at LSU (-1.5)

Why Bulldogs cover: Knowshon Moreno is the best running back the Tigers have seen this year, and he’s fresh off a 172-yard effort last week. LSU is only 2-6-1 ATS in its past nine home games.

Why Tigers cover: They have won six games in a row against top-10 opponents, and Georgia looked ordinary in its past two wins (vs. Vanderbilt and Tennessee).

Total (48.5): The over is 10-1 in LSU’s past 11 games following a victory.

South Florida at Louisville (+4)

Why Bulls cover: They crushed UL 55-17 last year and have won all three of their road games this year. USF leads the Big East with 35.4 points and 436.3 yards per game and it also owns the conference’s best defense.

Why Cardinals cover: The Bulls are 3-2 all-time vs. the Cards, but both of those losses have come at Louisville. USF is 0-7 ATS in its past seven games vs. a team with a winning record. The home team is 5-0 ATS in this series.

Total (55.5): The over is 8-2-1 in USF’s last 11 and 6-2 in Louisville’s last eight.

Wyoming at TCU (-31)

Why Cowboys cover: Beat Frogs 24-21 in Laramie on Oct. 6, 2007. The Frogs are primed for a letdown following their rout of a highly ranked BYU team.

Why Horned Frogs cover: Wyoming is 3-17 ATS in its past 17 road games. TCU possesses the nation’s top defense. TCU is 9-3 ATS in its past 12 games.

Total (42.5): The under is 9-1 in TCU’s past 10 home games.

Colorado at Missouri (-23.5)

Why Buffaloes cover: The Mizzou offense has been good but not great lately, totaling only 54 points in its past two games after averaging nearly 54 in the first five. New Colorado QB Tyler Hansen seemed to spark the offense last week.

Why Tigers cover: They should be plenty motivated after dropping their last two games. Mizzou beat Colorado 55-10 at Boulder last year. The Buffs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Total (63): The over is 5-1 in Mizzou’s last six games following an ATS loss as well as in CU’s last six following a straight-up win.

UNLV at BYU (-23.5)

Why Runnin’ Rebels cover: Are 5-1-1 in their past seven vs. a team with a winning record. The Rebels only lost by 10 to BYU on the road last season.

Why Cougars cover: Should be upset after getting dominated by TCU in their last game. The BYU offense struggled mightily against the Frogs but should bounce back against a UNLV team allowing an average of 32.7 ppg. The Cougars are also 6-1 ATS in their past seven following a loss.

Total (55.5): The over is 4-0 in both teams’ past four games overall.

Rutgers at Pittsburgh (-9.5)

Why Scarlet Knights cover: Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its past five road games. Rutgers has beaten Pitt the last three times the two programs met.

Why Panthers cover: Just had their best offensive showing in two years in last week’s rout of Navy. RB LeSean McCoy has three straight 100-yard games, and the Scarlet Knights’ rush defense is at the bottom of the Big East. Rutgers is 1-10 in its past 11 games on grass.

Total (43.5): The under is 4-0 in Rutgers past four games and 5-1 in Pitt’s past six home games.

Virginia at Georgia Tech (-13)

Why Cavaliers cover: Have won three games in a row, including a win over a ranked UNC team last week, outscoring opponents 82-33 over the stretch. The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings.

Why Yellow Jackets cover: Georgia Tech's defense ranks in the top 10 in the country in eight categories, including fifth in the nation in scoring defense, and the Virginia offense struggled last week against the Tar Heels. The Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their past five.

Total (38.5): The under is 4-0 in the last our meetings in Georgia Tech.

Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25)

Why Eagles cover: This is the first home game Ball State has played in front of its fans as a ranked team. Ball State might overlook the Eagles with more difficult opponents down the road. Eastern is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 October games.

Why Cardinals cover: They have won four in a row in this series. EMU just allowed a season-high 547 yards to a far less explosive Akron team. Ball State is 7-2 ATS in the past nine vs. EMU.

Total (59.5): The under is 4-1 in Ball State’s past five vs. a team with a losing record and in Eastern’s past five October games.

Virginia Tech at Florida State (-5)

Why Hokies cover: They have an incredible road record since joining the ACC, with their only two losses coming to Boston College. FSU is 1-4 ATS in its past five games following a victory.

Why Seminoles cover: FSU discovered its running game after rushing for at least 100 yards in each game this season, the first time since 2002. Bobby Bowden is 15-1 all-time vs. Virginia Tech.

Total (43.5): Over is 9-3 in FSU’s last 12 October games and 8-3 in Tech’s last 11 road games.

Northwestern at Indiana (+7.5)

Why Wildcats cover: Hoosiers rank last in the Big Ten in turnover margin. They have fumbled at least once in the past four games. The IU defense has allowed 200 total points in the past five weeks.

Why Hoosiers cover: The Wildcats are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 20 points. The underdog in this series is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 meetings.

Total (51): The over is 4-1 in IU’s past five games.

Minnesota at Purdue (+1.5)

Why Gophers cover: Purdue has lost 17 games in a row to Top 25 teams. The Boilermakers are last in the Big Ten in defense and Minnesota averages nearly 30 ppg. The Gophers are 11-2 in their past 13 vs. a team with a losing record.

Why Boilermakers cover: Minnesota hasn’t won at Purdue since 1990 and has lost two in a row to the Boilermakers and nine of the past 10. QB Curtis Painter has been off this year but had one of the better games of his career last year vs. the Gophers. Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in the past four in Purdue.

Total (51.5): The over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

Raji