7 Pt teaser a sucker bet

[Stats]

Sent this e-mail out to folks last year. We are all in this together to beat our books and I just feel information is power. Consider the following:

Yes, when talking about college football. Allow us to explain. First some excited news.

We started an elimination contest for our season subscribers with first prize being next season absolutely free. Second, we reactively recruited an intern from Wisconsin. Once he or she proves his mettle, you will hear more about him or her. Third and finally, we announce the return of free picks. They will be rare and completely based on our in-house developed computer super-system. Why are they free when we preach against free selections?

They will be late night releases, Saturday nights only, around 9 or 10 p.m. and that is much too late to have people sign on and purchase them and distribute them to our season holders. We actually held back the first one on UTEP. These plays will be based solely Back to the tease.

How good is Vegas? Well, when we talk about the college game they suck…terribly. Add this one to the rules we sent last time: avoid teasing lines in college. We started tracking this last year, but last week proves our point just as well.

The worst record possible if teasing every team over week one was 47-47. One would think increasing or reducing the point spread would result in a greater opportunity of winning. Not so fast my Corso. If you had indeed teased every team by 7 points you would have improved the record from 47-47 to 62-32-1, or merely 65% winners. Not impressed? Well remember a tease involves at least two teams. So, the odds of making a two-team 7 point tease a winner was 42%. Catching on yet? Additionally local books usually increase the vig from $1.10 to $1.20. You actually pay your man to reduce your chances of winning.

Return now to our earlier claim of Vegas sucking with their line creations. Look at this from another direction. Okay, we had 47 games last week. Tease the spread of each one 7 points both ways. That creates a 14-point cushion around the spread. And how many games landed within that cushion? Only 15 of 47 games stayed within a touchdown of the spread, or 32%. If that isn’t enough to scare you straight, we do not know what is.