July 21st, 2009 4:25 PMForums > Sports Betting & Sports Handicapping Forums > NCAA Football Betting » Poinsettia Bowl Betting Preview

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Old 12-20-2007, 12:31 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Poinsettia Bowl Betting Preview

Poinsettia Bowl Betting Preview
Navy (8-4) vs. Utah (8-4)
Thursday, 9:00 pm Eastern – ESPN


SBG GlobalCurrent Line: Utah - 11.5 , Total 68


The college football bowl season begins on Thursday in San Diego as Navy plays Utah in the Poinsettia Bowl. Both teams finished the season at 8-4 but Utah looks like the stronger team, especially since Navy lost their head coach, Paul Johnson to Georgia Tech. SBG Globalreports that early college football betting has the public taking Navy on the Road.

Utah comes into the game having won 7 of their last 8 games, led by quarterback Brian Johnson. The Utes nearly won their last game against BYU but the Cougars scored late to thwart Utah. The Utes have a stout defense that ranks third in the country allowing only 15.6 points per game.
Conversely, Navy has a rotten defense that allows 36.5 points per game. The good news for Navy is that they have an offense that can score points, especially on the ground. They averaged 351 yards per game on the ground. Seven players ran for more than 460 yards this season. Starting QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada was injured late in the season but did play in the last game against Army. He was Navy’s leading rusher on the season.

SBG GlobalCurrent Line: Utah - 7.5 , Total 65


Here are the college football betting stats for Thursday’s game. The Midshipmen are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Mountain West. The Midshipmen are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December. The Midshipmen are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. The Midshipmen are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog. The Midshipmen are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.

The Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games. The Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December. The Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Utes are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Utes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. The Utes are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 non-conference games.

The Over is 6-0 in the Midshipmen’s last 6 games as an underdog. The Over is 4-0 in the Midshipmen’s last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. The Over is 8-2 in the Midshipmen’s last 10 neutral site games. The Over is 9-3 in the Midshipmen’s last 12 non-conference games. The Over is 7-3 in the Midshipmen’s last 10 games overall. The Under is 5-1 in the Utes last 6 games overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Utes last 5 Bowl games. The Under is 6-2 in the Utes last 8 games as a favorite.
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Old 12-20-2007, 12:44 PM   #2 (permalink)
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My pick

Over 65 3units. Utah hasnt faced a good offense like this since Louisville. Navy aint going to stop Utah so look for this one to go back and forth all night
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