Friday night Lights

jtsneaks · 03-30-2007, 01:17 PM

After a 3-0 Wednesday night I took the night off yesterday but I am back to do some damage tonight and head into a big weekend!!!

Here are my early looks.

These are not solid plays YET, still looking....

like to hear thoughts and comments etc...

Boston +7.5

Milwaukee +5

Detroit -5.5

Phoenix -7

Memphis +8

lakers +2.5

Kings -2.5

Totals I am leaning too include:

Under 213 Tor/Was

Over 223 Denver / Phoenix

Memphis / Seattle Over 201.5

Clippers / Sac over 196

Obviously I have too many plays here but looking for feedback and will narrow them down and make some selections here in a few...

JT

Sneaks

jtsneaks · 03-30-2007, 01:41 PM

Looks like superstars Pierce (BOS) is out, O'neal (IND) Quest. and Dirk (DAL) may not play...

just an FYI...

jt

Sneaks

brs14ku · 03-30-2007, 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jtsneaks

After a 3-0 Wednesday night I took the night off yesterday but I am back to do some damage tonight and head into a big weekend!!!

Here are my early looks.

These are not solid plays YET, still looking....

like to hear thoughts and comments etc...

Boston +7.5

Milwaukee +5

Detroit -5.5

Phoenix -7

Memphis +8

lakers +2.5

Kings -2.5

Totals I am leaning too include:

Under 213 Tor/Was

Over 223 Denver / Phoenix

Memphis / Seattle Over 201.5

Clippers / Sac over 196

Obviously I have too many plays here but looking for feedback and will narrow them down and make some selections here in a few...

JT

Sneaks

I like the Lakers, Memphis, and the Memphis/Seattle Over. Definitely don't like the over in Phoenix or the line. Milwaukee blows so I would never bet them unless they were +20 or more.

jtsneaks · 03-30-2007, 03:08 PM

Plays:
One Unit:

Boston +7.5

Pierce is out of the lineup and they are off a big OT game so I may look to hedge or middle in the second half if things are going sour but I know the C's have a young core that are playing well with one another rightnow and can keep this close. The C's are 23-8 ATS as a road underdog and play tough to the end. Will look for weary legs but don't think it will matter. The C's are 7-0 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points and they are 16-6 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

Toronto / Washington Under 213

This game will have a playoff atmosphere and I don't see the raps hitting hoops as well as they did against the Heat. This stays under 200 with my numbers leaving this as a 13 point wedge for me to hit. The under is 24-9 for the Raptors versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game and 23-12 in road games this year.

Two unit:
Knicks +14

Dirk is hurting and I don't think he will play tonight. The knicks are playing for a play off so I don't expect them to give up here late. They should keep this under 10. The Mavs are just 5-15 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points.

Three Unit:
Milwaukee +5
I know the Bucks are bad, but they play well when on a losing streak of 4 or more (8-1ATS ) and I am not sold on the cats as a favorite. The cats are just 1-6 ATS in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points

Houston / Lakers Over 196.5

Don't look now but the Rockets have become scoring machines with Yao back and healthy letting T-mac be T-mac and Kobe off a horrible shooting game will be back in stride. This goes over.

FOUR Unit:

Kings -3.5

this is it for the Kings if they want to keep a chance at the playoffs they have to win at home and they have to win now. The clippers have been winning but this has proven to put them in a lull as they are just 2-9 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. The Clippers are 9-22 ATS as a dog and 2-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points.

JT

Sneaks