[CNOTES]

Monday, March 8Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Antonio - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio +5.5 500 ( POD )
Cleveland - Under 193 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET New York +6.5 300
New York - Under 209.5 300

New Jersey - 8:00 PM ET New Jersey +8.5 300
Memphis - Over 198 300

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas -6.5 500
Minnesota - Under 207.5 500

Golden State - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -6.5 500
New Orleans - Under 215 500 ( TOTAL OF THE NIGHT )

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, March 8

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SAN ANTONIO (36 - 24) at CLEVELAND (49 - 15) - 3/8/2010, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (40 - 22) at NEW YORK (21 - 41) - 3/8/2010, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
ATLANTA is 127-165 ATS (-54.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW JERSEY (7 - 55) at MEMPHIS (32 - 31) - 3/8/2010, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW JERSEY is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
NEW JERSEY is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (43 - 21) at MINNESOTA (14 - 49) - 3/8/2010, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 219-163 ATS (+39.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (17 - 45) at NEW ORLEANS (31 - 32) - 3/8/2010, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-79 ATS (-36.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 102-134 ATS (-45.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 66-83 ATS (-25.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 64-94 ATS (-39.4 Units) after a division game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[CNOTES]

NBA
Write-Up


Monday, March 8

Hot Teams
-- Spurs won five of their last six games. Cavaliers won last seven games, covered five of last six.
-- Hawks won four of their last five games.
-- Mavericks won last 11 games (4-2-1 vs spread in last seven).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost four of last five games, are 2-6 vs spread in their last eight home games.
-- Memphis is 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games as the favorite. Nets lost seven of last nine games, but are 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven on road.
-- Minnesota lost last five games (1-3 vs spread in last four).
-- Warriors lost six of last seven games, but are 11-4 vs spread in their last fifteen road games. Hornets lost six of last seven games, are 0-3-1 vs spread in last four.

Playing Second of Back-to-Back Nights
-- None

Totals
-- Over is 11-2 in last thirteen Cleveland games.
-- Last six Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Three of last four New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Golden State games stayed under the total. Five of last seven New Orleans games went over.

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel


Dallas at Minnesota
The Mavericks look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games as a road favorite between 5 and 10 1/2 points. Dallas is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 8

Game 501-502: San Antonio at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.340; Cleveland 127.389
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 6; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Atlanta at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 119.262; New York 116.295
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 210
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Over

Game 505-506: New Jersey at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.421; Memphis 119.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+8 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Dallas at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.431; Minnesota 114.594
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Golden State at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.501; New Orleans 120.820
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Over

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, 3/8/2010

SAN ANTONIO at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET NBA
SAN ANTONIO: 3-10 ATS off a road win
CLEVELAND: 9-4 ATS after 2+ consecutive unders

ATLANTA at NEW YORK, 7:35 PM ET
ATLANTA: 11-2 ATS against Atlantic division
NEW YORK: 10-19 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3

NEW JERSEY at MEMPHIS, 8:05 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 8-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5
MEMPHIS: 16-3 ATS after playing as a home favorite

DALLAS at MINNESOTA, 8:05 PM ET
DALLAS: 1-8 ATS after allowing 100+ in 3 straight games
MINNESOTA: 20-11 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5

GOLDEN STATE at NEW ORLEANS, 8:05 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 20-11 ATS after 1+ consecutive unders
NEW ORLEANS: 13-26 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[CNOTES]

NBA


Monday, March 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
San Antonio is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. NEW YORK
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
New York is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MINNESOTA
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Minnesota is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW ORLEANS
Golden State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. MEMPHIS
New Jersey is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
New Jersey is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey

[CNOTES]

NBA


Monday, March 8

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Tips and Trends
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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks [7:30 PM ET]

Hawks (-6, O/U 210.5): As great of a season as Atlanta has had, they have certainly dissapointed themselves when playing against the Knicks. Atlanta has lost the past 2 games SU against the Knicks, both times at home. Atlanta has won 4 of their past 5 games SU, and are an impressive 40-22 SU this season. The Hawks currently stand in 4th place in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Atlanta is a very profitable 36-26 ATS in all games this season. The Hawks are 15-15 SU and 17-13 ATS in road games this season. One betting angle the Hawks haven't been successful in is revenging a home loss, as Atlanta is only 1-9 ATS in this specific scenario. 5 different Hawks players average double figures in PTS for Atlanta, led by G Joe Johnson. Johnson averages 21.5 PPG and a team high 4.7 APG this season for the Hawks. G Jamal Crawford continues to be an offensive machine for the Hawks, as he is averaging 17.5 PPG while only playing 30 minutes per game this season. He has struggled against his former team however, averaging only 9 PPG in 3 games against the Knicks this season.

Hawks are 1-5 ATS last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 12-2 last 14 games following a SU loss.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 105 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Knicks: New York has lost 12 of their past 14 games SU, yet even they were embarrased in their most recent loss. New York set an NBA record in their last game, as they were a pitiful 0-18 from the 3 point line. Prior to that game, the Knicks had gone 3-16 from downtown, so it's no surprise they are amongst the worst shooting teams in the NBA. The Knicks are 21-41 SU this season, the 5th worst record in the NBA. It's very apparent that New York is going to miss the playoffs for the 6th consecutive season. The Knicks are 13-21 SU and 15-19 ATS in home games this season. New York has been the listed underdog in 39 of their 62 total games this season. The Knicks are 18-21 ATS as the listed underdog this year. The Knicks have been held to 96 PTS or fewer in 3 of their past 4 games, partly due to their shooting woes. G Tracy McGrady has been a dissapointment since being traded to the Knicks, as he's only averaged 12 PPG in his 9 games with them. All Star F David Lee leads the Knicks in both scoring and rebounding, averaging 20.3 PPG and 11.6 RPG this season.

Knicks are 9-2 ATS last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Over is 7-1 last 8 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - C Eddy Curry (knee) is doubtful.
G Tracy McGrady is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97



Golden St. Warriors at New Orleans Hornets [8:00 PM ET]

Warriors: Give credit to Golden St, as they are remaining competitive despite massive injuries to their entire roster. Despite losing 7 of their past 10 games SU, the Warriors are actually 5-5 ATS over that same stretch. This pattern has been consistent with the entire season for the Warriors. Golden St. is only 17-45 SU this season, yet are 34-27-1 ATS. Clearly this team remains competitive and undervalued from a betting standpoint. At 17-45 SU, the Warriors have the 3rd worst record in the entire NBA this season. Part of that problem is their road woes, as the Warriors have only 1 SU road win in the past 3 months. Golden St. is 4-27 SU and 17-13-1 ATS in road games this season. The Warriors are also a very profitable 26-20 ATS as the listed underdog this season. Another profitable betting angle for the Warriors is off a blowout SU loss. The Warriors are 16-6 ATS in the game following a double digit SU loss of 10 PTS or more. G Stephen Curry is having a great rookie season, averaging 16 PPG this season and a team high 5.4 APG for the Warriors. Curry has been especially hot of late, averaging nearly 24 PPG over his past 8 games.

Warriors are 9-3 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Under is 8-3 last 11 road games.

Key Injuries - G Monta Ellis (back) is questionable.
F Ronny Turiaf (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 108 (SIDE of the Day)

Hornets (-7, O/U 214.5): It's been a rough go of it without injured star G Chris Paul for New Orleans, as they are only 6-11 SU in his absence. Surprisingly it's not the offense that is the problem for the Hornets. New Orleans is allowing more than 105 PPG over their past 4 games and are allowing opponents to shoot better than 51% from the field in that same span. The Hornets have lost their past 4 games SU, and are looking to avoid losing their 5th consecutive game SU for the 1st time in 3 years. The Hornets are 31-32 SU this season, the 1st time they've been under .500 since January 2nd. With their recent SU slide, the Hornets have fallen 5.5 games back of the last playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Hornets are 20-11 SU and 14-17 ATS in home games this season. The Hornets are only 9-16 ATS as the listed favorite this season. New Orleans only has 1 win ATS over their past 6 games. PG Darren Collison continues to put up huge numbers in Paul's absense, averaging more than 23 PPG during this 17 game stretch. F David West averages 18.3 PPG this season on 49% shooting for the Hornets this season.

Hornets are 2-8 ATS last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-0 last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % less than .400.

Key Injuries - G Chris Paul (knee) is out.
G Marcus Thornton (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 109

[CNOTES]

NBA


Monday, March 8

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets
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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves (7, 207)

The Mavericks have won 11 straight while the Timberwolves have lost 11 of their last 12, so this pick is a no-brainer, right?

Not necessarily, especially with the nine-man Mavs winning the last few with smoke and mirrors. They certainly haven't done it inside, with centers Erick Dampier and Brendan Haywood out with injuries.

And they darn sure haven't done it with defense, allowing five of their last six opponents to score in triple figures. The Mavs have had to share the ball and shoot lights-out just to stay ahead of the pace.

"We just couldn't get any stops," Dirk Nowitzki said after Saturday's 122-116 victory over the Chicago Bulls. "We were using trick defenses and some zones, but they kept scoring. But we shared the ball well, had 31 assists, and I think that's a sign of a bunch of guys who want to play with each other."

The Mavs will have to take that same approach against the T-wolves, who lost 112-109 at Dallas last week, and that was without center Al Jefferson, who was serving a two-game suspension for his DUI arrest. Throw in Darko Milicic and Ryan Hollins and the centerless Mavs are outsized and outmanned.

Pick: Timberwolves


Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks (6, 210.5)

The Hawks' offense has been on fire as of late, hitting the over in seven of their last eight and averaging 108 points per game during that span.

The Knicks have decided to scrap their slow approach since last month's 83-67 sleep-inducing loss to Milwaukee last month, scoring an average of 103 points per game but allowing 112.

That's a formula for a shootout tonight at Madison Square Garden, where over is 11-3 in the Knicks' last 14. Eight of the last nine meetings between these two teams also have topped the total.

And if that's not enough mathematic evidence for you, consider that Hawks leading scorer Joe Johnson, a free agent after this season, may be auditioning for a job since the Knicks are considering him as an attractive alternative to LeBron James as a building block for the future.

Pick: Over