[CNOTES]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/14/09 7-4-0 63.64% +1300 Detail
11/13/09 12-6-0 66.67% +2700 Detail
11/12/09 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
11/11/09 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
11/10/09 7-4-1 63.64% +1300 Detail
11/09/09 6-3-1 66.67% +1350 Detail
11/08/09 5-7-0 41.67% -1350 Detail
11/07/09 4-10-0 28.57% -3500 Detail
11/06/09 14-12-0 53.85% +400 Detail
11/05/09 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
11/04/09 13-7-0 65.00% +2650 Detail
11/03/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
11/02/09 6-2-0 75.00% +1900 Detail
11/01/09 6-8-0 42.86% -1400 Detail
Totals 99-80-2 55.31% +5500

Sunday, November 15Game Score Status Pick Amount

Dallas - 6:00 PM ET Detroit +4.5 500 *****
Detroit - Over 184.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 7:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -6 500 *****
Oklahoma City - Over 178.5 500

Toronto - 8:00 PM ET Phoenix -7 500
Phoenix - Over 232 500 *****

Houston - 9:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers -9.5 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 204.5 500 *****

[CNOTES]

NBA
Write-up


Sunday, November 15

Hot Teams
-- Mavericks won six of their last eight games. Pistons won last three games, covered five of their last six.
-- Thunder won three of their last four games.
-- Suns won eight of first nine games, covered last four. Raptors won four of their last six games.
-- Lakers covered their last four games as a home favorite.

Cold Teams
-- Clippers lost last three games, by 28-4-15 points, scoring 84 ppg.
-- Rockets lost their last two road games by 18-9 points.

Totals
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Clippers' last seven games.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Houston games went over the total

[CNOTES]

NBA


Sunday, November 15

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DETROIT
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
LA Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games
LA Clippers are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games
Oklahoma City is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHOENIX
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

9:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA LAKERS
Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Houston is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
LA Lakers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games

[CNOTES]

NBA


Sunday, November 15

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pick ‘n’ Roll: Today's best NBA bets
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons (+4, 184.5)

The Dallas Mavericks aren’t road warriors. At least not yet. The team is 3-2 away from home this season, including a thumping of the defending champion Lakers and Clippers on consecutive nights.

And Dallas is no stranger to playing Detroit tough in the Motor City. The Mavericks are 2-1 SU in their past three trips to the Midwest, including a 112-91 win last year. The key for Dallas playing tougher this year has been its improved defense. The team is allowing opponents to shoot just 42.4 percent from the floor and just 33.3 percent from beyond the arc.

Even more revealing is the team’s rebounding: the squad is plus-3.4 in rebounding margin, combined to a minus-1 margin for the Pistons.

Get tough. Back Dallas.

Pick: Mavericks -4


Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-6, 178.5)

If the Clippers couldn't beat the Thunder in California earlier this week, why should bettors believe they can in Oklahoma?

And Sunday’s meeting could get ugly, quickly.

The Thunder were a meager 3-of-13 beyond the arc and just 10-of-15 from the free-throw line in their early win. Plus, the Clippers again will be without injured guard Eric Gordon – meaning you shouldn’t be surprised if Los Angeles again fails to make at least 36 percent of its field goal attempts.

Plus, it’s highly unlikely that in less than a week, the Clippers found a way to defend Kevin Durant. The former Texas star lit up L.A. for 30 points and 10 rebounds in 36 minutes.

The Clippers are doomed to repeat history.

Pick: Thunder -6

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel


Houston at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to bounce back from their loss in Denver and build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 games following a SU loss. Los Angeles is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 15

Game 701-702: Dallas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 125.245; Detroit 119.883
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 113.564; Oklahoma City 118.542
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 179
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+6); Under

Game 705-706: Toronto at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.819; Phoenix 126.588
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11; 228
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 231
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Under

Game 707-708: Houston at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.576; LA Lakers 131.432
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9); Over

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, November 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 3) at DETROIT (5 - 4) - 11/15/2009, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-65 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (3 - 7) at OKLAHOMA CITY (5 - 4) - 11/15/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 154-199 ATS (-64.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 65-101 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (5 - 4) at PHOENIX (8 - 2) - 11/15/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 34-51 ATS (-22.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (5 - 4) at LA LAKERS (7 - 2) - 11/15/2009, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-29 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 10-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 10-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet


Sunday, 11/15/2009

DALLAS at DETROIT, 6:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 77-49 ATS AWAY after BB road games
DETROIT: 4-14 ATS on Sunday

LA CLIPPERS at OKLAHOMA CITY, 7:00 PM ET
LA CLIPPERS: 11-23 ATS in November
OKLAHOMA CITY: 29-16 UNDER in home games

TORONTO at PHOENIX, 8:00 PM ET
TORONTO: 5-15 ATS AWAY after a non-conference game
PHOENIX: 11-1 ATS after allowing 120+ points

HOUSTON at LA LAKERS, 9:30 PM ET
HOUSTON: 19-7 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12
LA LAKERS: 5-17 ATS off a road loss scoring less than 80 points

[Smart Guy]

I'm taking Phoenix and the Lakers both today.

There is no way that a Raptors team that has been struggling to get stops this year will be able to hold the Suns to less than 120 today. Nash is back and the Suns will roll today.

Look for Artest and his new teammates to really put one to the Rockets today. The Rockets just don't have the offensive firepower this year. They will need a big game out of Brooks and he has struggled in the past against the bigger Lakers guards.

[shantystar]

GL